NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	141		Excitement	14.2 [6]		MVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): +16.7%
Golden State Warriors	143		Comeback	6.0 [299]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -28.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.11,0.17	-0.05	0.21	-0.01	18	43%	0.31	2	-0.14	6	100%	0.09
Andres Nocioni	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	8	52%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Kevin Martin	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.03	0.25	-0.21	0.01	22	71%	0.28	5	-0.25	26	88%	0.13
Francisco Garcia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.02	0.12	-0.12	-0.01	12	76%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	14	42%	-0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Jason Thompson	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.29	0.01	-0.29	0.00	12	52%	-0.25	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	4	80%	0.20	2	-0.04	7	86%	-0.03
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	22	56%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	9	81%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rob Kurz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	47%	0.08	2	-0.08	10	60%	-0.05
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	68%	0.11	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.03,-0.07,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19	-0.19	0.03	-0.23	-0.01	35	51%	0.24	4	-0.43	12	83%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	34.3	15.6	29.1	2.3	48.9	1.7	17.1	176.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +66.7%

GSW +0.7%

SAC -4.0%

SAC -2.4%

SAC -11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	12.1	15.5	116.5	118.2	106.4
season	15.0	13.8		104.0	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		111.2	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	13.4	13.8	16.3	13.1	14.7	14.2
GSW	13.2	12.9	10.8	12.2	10.3	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	58	57	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.52	-16	14	-30	15.3	13.2	2.07	11.2	12.9	-1.68
Donte Greene	8	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	2	-6	12.1	14.3	-2.22	8.0	12.3	-4.33
Spencer Hawes	50	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-4	6	13.8	14.5	-0.68	12.4	11.9	0.48
Rashad McCants	88	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-7	12	14.0	14.6	-0.60	12.0	12.4	-0.38
Francisco Garcia	101	102	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.58	8	-10	18	13.9	15.5	-1.56	12.5	10.1	2.41
Jason Thompson	78	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-3	4	14.6	13.4	1.25	12.7	10.9	1.77
Beno Udrih	118	118	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.43	-2	0	-2	14.0	21.0	-6.97	12.0	14.7	-2.65
Kevin Martin	104	106	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.48	-4	2	-6	14.2	14.2	0.03	12.0	12.4	-0.36

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	74	72	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.74	0	2	-2	13.0	10.7	2.33	14.2	14.3	-0.11
Monta Ellis	111	111	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	-2	6	12.1	11.8	0.31	14.3	12.8	1.52
Jamal Crawford	94	96	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-7	16	11.4	14.4	-2.99	14.1	14.4	-0.30
Kelenna Azubuike	108	106	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	4	-6	12.1	11.7	0.44	14.0	15.5	-1.45
CJ Watson	67	68	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	-6	14	11.7	12.5	-0.82	14.3	14.0	0.32
Rob Kurz	11	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	2	-2	11.2	12.2	-0.99	15.5	14.1	1.44
Anthony Morrow	75	74	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	12.2	12.0	0.20	14.4	13.8	0.64
Corey Maggette	8	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	13.1	12.0	1.12	15.3	14.1	1.20
Anthony Randolph	45	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	7	-12	12.7	11.7	1.04	13.2	14.8	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.15,1	89.2%
PHX 113, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.23,0.42,1	89.1%
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	88.1%