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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 92 Excitement12.3 [13] MVPCorliss Williamson (DET): +6.5%
Toronto Raptors 94 Comeback9.8 [172] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -70.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corliss Williamson0.070,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.060.12-0.001453%0.214-0.15475%-0.00
Mikki Moore0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.040.00375%0.081-0.022100%0.02
Joe Smith0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011157%0.0200.001100%0.00
Jud Buechler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kornel David-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.030.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dana Barros-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00729%-0.021-0.0500%0.00
Brian Cardinal-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.05-0.150.00737%-0.2100.00560%-0.17
Ben Wallace-0.250,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.08-0.17-0.00564%0.045-0.28425%-0.08
Chucky Atkins-0.310,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.05,-0.05,-0.31-0.06-0.25-0.001545%-0.073-0.241100%0.01
Jerry Stackhouse-0.700,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.51,-0.63,-0.63,-0.63,-0.7,-0.7-0.26-0.46-0.012539%-0.458-0.257100%0.04

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.000100%0.0300.002100%0.03
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.01-0.01-0.070.05-0.011633%-0.0100.0010%-0.01
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00729%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011450%-0.012-0.054100%0.02
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00848%-0.051-0.02540%-0.06
Vince Carter0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.25,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.39,-0.47,-0.22-0.22-0.17-0.040.012237%-0.182-0.051258%-0.09
Charles Oakley0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31,-0.31,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.12-0.13-0.011444%-0.114-0.13683%0.06
Chris Childs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.05-0.230.00756%0.023-0.304100%0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.11.829.015.428.62.633.31.514.2150.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -9.3%
TOR +24.4%
DET -12.4%
TOR +49.3%
DET -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game14.115.815.586.088.7100.9
season14.315.897.9103.7
opponent15.415.4101.699.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET14.314.113.913.216.214.1
TOR15.115.314.917.617.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith49480.31-0.811.120.088-101813.614.4-0.8416.415.31.12
Mikki Moore26260.09-0.590.68-0.034-61015.113.71.3915.915.80.16
Dana Barros4545-0.03-0.470.43-0.309-112013.514.5-0.9216.915.01.85
Kornel David77-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-20-28.414.5-6.0312.916.0-3.15
Jud Buechler2425-0.09-0.410.33-0.090-2212.014.7-2.6115.815.8-0.00
Brian Cardinal4340-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.16-75-1214.214.00.2815.216.2-0.93
Corliss Williamson7272-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-20-214.413.41.0316.115.10.96
Chucky Atkins8484-0.570.07-0.63-0.36-75-1214.811.43.4115.616.6-1.05
Jerry Stackhouse9493-0.670.17-0.84-0.49-64-1014.114.2-0.1015.518.1-2.59
Ben Wallace9190-0.700.20-0.90-0.49-75-1214.213.11.1115.716.5-0.82

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Clark58560.64-0.140.770.437-51214.517.4-2.8415.612.43.27
Alvin Williams97970.56-0.060.610.5020215.717.2-1.5514.411.23.16
Charles Oakley93950.54-0.040.590.405-3816.113.82.2314.014.4-0.40
Vince Carter80820.460.040.410.4020215.416.9-1.4914.811.73.06
Chris Childs58580.370.130.240.43-24-616.415.11.3113.115.3-2.21
Antonio Davis80830.160.34-0.170.025-3816.114.91.2213.715.4-1.74
Dell Curry16150.010.49-0.47-0.0420213.216.3-3.0814.314.00.23
Morris Peterson2830-0.080.58-0.660.07-57-1217.315.32.0212.714.6-1.94
Jerome Williams2019-0.160.66-0.820.02-68-1417.415.42.0311.914.5-2.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.15,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 141, GSW 1430.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.92,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.27,189.2%
ORL 107, ATL 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.33,0.15,189.0%
PHX 113, WAS 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.23,0.42,188.8%