NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	107		Excitement	11.2 [40]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +65.0%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	33.1 [52]		LVP	Milt Palacio (UTA): -17.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.54	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.33,0.39,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54	0.14	0.41	0.01	24	60%	0.60	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.07
Jannero Pargo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.12	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.07
James Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	52%	0.09	2	-0.13	5	80%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,0.65	0.65	0.02	0.63	0.01	12	58%	0.77	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.12	-0.00	17	62%	0.28	0	0.00	11	91%	0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	14	66%	0.23	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
CJ Miles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	14	49%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	4	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	12	43%	-0.02	4	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	31.2	1.5	28.5	15.7	24.6	1.8	36.2	1.6	16.2	157.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.6%

UTA +4.5%

UTA +25.6%

CHI -0.4%

CHI -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	13.0	17.8	15.6	101.9	106.9	104.4
season	14.4	17.0		102.6	101.7
opponent	15.0	16.1		104.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	13.8	13.4	13.7	11.4	12.7	13.0
UTA	16.2	17.9	19.0	20.3	13.5	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	65	62	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.47	0	-2	2	12.9	13.3	-0.41	16.2	20.1	-3.91
Othella Harrington	30	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-7	12	14.4	12.5	1.98	21.4	16.2	5.14
James Thomas	5	4	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-5	8	12.8	13.0	-0.23	26.0	17.4	8.56
Malik Allen	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	1	-4	14.2	12.9	1.33	17.6	17.8	-0.16
Michael Sweetney	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	1	-4	15.9	12.8	3.09	11.2	18.3	-7.08
Jannero Pargo	31	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	12.9	13.1	-0.16	15.7	18.8	-3.03
Tyson Chandler	73	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.49	8	-10	18	12.5	14.2	-1.77	18.4	16.3	2.13
Kirk Hinrich	96	93	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-6	10	12.8	15.4	-2.65	18.3	12.3	5.97
Ben Gordon	87	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.48	-4	2	-6	13.2	12.1	1.16	18.0	16.9	1.01
Andres Nocioni	63	60	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.37	-14	12	-26	12.3	14.1	-1.79	15.9	20.5	-4.55
Luol Deng	59	57	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.83	1	-3	4	13.5	12.4	1.12	19.1	16.1	2.94

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	41	42	1.01	-0.51	1.51	0.77	8	-6	14	15.2	19.5	-4.23	12.2	13.5	-1.30
Matt Harpring	72	75	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-8	18	16.9	19.9	-2.96	12.4	14.6	-2.17
Andrei Kirilenko	74	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	4	-6	18.7	15.4	3.28	13.3	12.2	1.17
Mehmet Okur	60	63	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.47	-2	4	-6	18.5	16.7	1.80	12.2	14.2	-1.95
Greg Ostertag	49	49	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	-5	12	18.3	17.2	1.10	12.7	13.3	-0.65
Keith McLeod	61	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	5	-8	17.4	18.4	-1.03	13.3	12.6	0.63
CJ Miles	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-2	6	14.8	18.4	-3.57	14.3	12.8	1.52
Kris Humphries	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	3	-4	16.8	18.1	-1.24	13.5	12.9	0.60
Jarron Collins	42	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	9	-16	18.2	17.4	0.79	13.8	12.5	1.35
Milt Palacio	68	71	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.29	-4	6	-10	19.4	14.6	4.82	13.5	11.9	1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.03,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.99,0.96,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.17,0.37,1	88.8%
PHX 113, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.23,0.42,1	88.4%
IND 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.72,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.23,0.16,1	87.8%