inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 102 Excitement10.4 [47] MVPCaron Butler (WAS): +74.0%
Milwaukee Bucks 105 Comeback14.9 [73] LVPAntonio Daniels (WAS): -18.3%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.740,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.75,0.74,0.740.200.54-0.002762%0.782-0.0410100%0.08
Nick Young-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00267%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Antawn Jamison-0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.010.04-0.04-0.002247%-0.0100.0010%-0.07
Andray Blatche-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Darius Songaila-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.050.00475%0.021-0.0500%0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.05-0.00950%-0.033-0.06475%0.02
DeShawn Stevenson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14-0.02-0.060.051342%-0.101-0.0400%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.09-0.11-0.02444%-0.024-0.16862%-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.11,0.20.20-0.030.280.052254%0.316-0.112100%0.01
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.130.130.080.04-0.001063%0.151-0.02786%-0.01
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.080.011658%0.262-0.14667%-0.03
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.060.00183%0.1000.00475%-0.00
Awvee Storey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.01657%0.0400.0020%-0.03
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Yi Jianlian0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.01743%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.050.001750%0.032-0.102100%0.01
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.01520%-0.043-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.11.829.215.725.52.034.01.618.0150.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +50.3%
WAS -24.0%
MIL +27.5%
WAS -8.4%
MIL +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASMILNBAWASMILNBA
this game16.417.115.4106.2111.7105.7
season16.115.8106.8103.4
opponent15.215.5110.7107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
WAS18.416.015.416.016.116.4
MIL17.616.017.417.517.417.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roger Mason Jr.25270.39-0.891.280.187-101716.416.40.0917.716.90.79
Andray Blatche14140.13-0.630.750.014-71115.516.5-1.0216.117.3-1.13
Antonio Daniels68690.02-0.520.55-0.042-5716.316.5-0.1817.416.41.02
Nick Young1817-0.02-0.480.450.04-2-1-116.716.30.4315.917.4-1.49
Oleksiy Pecherov44-0.08-0.420.340.01-30-319.216.23.0018.517.01.46
Darius Songaila2930-0.20-0.300.10-0.03-63-916.216.4-0.1916.817.2-0.45
Caron Butler9290-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.420-3316.219.2-3.0017.018.5-1.46
Antawn Jamison8583-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.44-2-1-116.416.20.2217.117.00.12
DeShawn Stevenson7168-0.520.02-0.54-0.34-63-916.416.4-0.0916.917.6-0.65
Brendan Haywood6460-0.800.30-1.09-0.62-63-916.615.90.6617.416.60.86

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Bogut71730.66-0.160.820.3710-71717.615.42.2116.515.80.72
Charlie Bell75760.64-0.140.770.3410-71716.818.2-1.3816.117.5-1.48
Michael Ruffin31300.370.130.250.0511-81916.217.6-1.3617.315.91.39
Royal Ivey60640.340.160.170.48-58-1317.516.31.2316.316.6-0.33
Mo Williams83840.310.190.120.43-47-1117.315.71.5616.316.9-0.62
Yi Jianlian57600.240.26-0.030.32-36-917.915.91.9116.316.5-0.24
Awvee Storey34330.180.32-0.14-0.058-51315.618.0-2.3816.516.30.12
Bobby Simmons4747-0.090.59-0.680.08-69-1517.017.2-0.2116.716.00.68
Jake Voskuhl1213-0.140.64-0.780.03-69-1515.717.3-1.6515.016.6-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.99,0.96,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.17,0.37,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 107, UTA 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.03,0.15,188.8%
IND 102, MIA 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.72,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.23,0.16,187.9%
MIL 117, GSW 1180.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.95,0.54,0.53,0.37,0.15,0.73,187.5%