NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	13.6 [10]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +108.2%
Miami Heat	103		Comeback	10.8 [180]		LVP	Norris Cole (MIA): -33.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	1.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.5,0.5,1.08	0.05	1.02	-0.01	16	63%	1.42	6	-0.34	11	91%	0.31
D.J. Augustin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	2	80%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	18	50%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	9	26%	-0.13	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
David West	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19	0.04	-0.20	0.03	17	62%	0.01	4	-0.20	8	50%	-0.16
Lance Stephenson	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.00	10	29%	-0.14	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.89	0.89	0.03	0.89	0.02	24	55%	1.06	4	-0.17	7	57%	-0.05
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.18	0.00	7	100%	0.34	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.29	0.29	0.08	0.23	0.01	11	61%	0.32	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.00	0.27	0.00	15	56%	0.35	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Mario Chalmers	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Udonis Haslem	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	4	25%	-0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34	-0.34	-0.13	-0.20	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	5	-0.30	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	3.5	35.6	19.6	32.2	3.4	44.4	2.8	26.4	195.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +92.1%

IND -65.5%

MIA +24.9%

IND -5.9%

MIA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	16.3	16.1	15.4	104.1	105.1	104.1
season	16.1	15.7		102.4	110.2
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.4	19.8	16.8	18.2	10.8	16.3
MIA	17.9	14.5	15.2	15.4	19.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	28	29	1.02	-1.52	2.53	0.90	4	-5	9	15.9	16.5	-0.61	15.0	16.6	-1.64
Roy Hibbert	75	78	0.51	-1.01	1.53	0.46	2	-3	5	16.2	16.6	-0.37	16.1	16.4	-0.35
George Hill	73	74	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	17.0	14.4	2.64	15.7	17.4	-1.66
Ian Mahinmi	20	20	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-3	5	18.2	15.8	2.35	16.4	16.1	0.35
Paul George	88	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-3	5	15.9	20.3	-4.42	16.0	17.0	-0.99
Tyler Hansbrough	27	23	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.69	2	-3	5	14.7	16.9	-2.24	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Lance Stephenson	75	78	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.57	-3	2	-5	17.1	14.0	3.10	16.6	14.4	2.16
David West	73	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.50	-6	5	-11	16.7	15.2	1.51	16.6	14.6	2.03
Sam Young	21	16	-1.22	0.72	-1.95	-1.05	-6	5	-11	15.8	16.5	-0.72	16.6	16.0	0.60

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	37	42	1.43	-0.93	2.36	1.14	10	-9	19	16.6	15.8	0.80	16.0	16.5	-0.49
Shane Battier	55	56	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.87	-2	3	-5	16.5	15.7	0.76	16.7	15.8	0.86
Chris Bosh	68	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-4	9	15.7	17.1	-1.41	16.0	17.0	-0.94
LeBron James	86	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-2	5	16.2	15.2	0.99	16.2	17.5	-1.34
Mario Chalmers	40	39	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	-8	17	15.5	16.5	-0.97	16.7	16.1	0.69
Norris Cole	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.48	-10	11	-21	16.4	15.8	0.56	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Chris Andersen	33	33	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.11	-4	5	-9	17.6	15.4	2.24	16.8	16.1	0.70
Dwyane Wade	76	75	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.31	-4	5	-9	16.2	15.7	0.57	16.3	16.3	0.03
Udonis Haslem	42	39	-0.59	1.09	-1.68	-0.53	-2	3	-5	14.5	17.3	-2.80	16.3	16.3	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.86,0.72,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.23,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.15,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.15,1	90.3%
MIL 86, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	90.1%
CLE 89, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.92,0.98,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.32,0.58,1	88.8%