NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	11.9 [26]		MVP	Brendan Haywood (CLE): +34.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	4.8 [579]		LVP	Joe Harris (CLE): -38.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.44,0.44,0.26	0.14	0.11	0.00	9	77%	0.37	2	-0.11	8	87%	0.06
Ramon Sessions	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	64%	0.17	1	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	11	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.10	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	13	44%	0.16	5	-0.26	1	0%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.01	-0.14	0.00	19	45%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.29,-0.33	-0.08	-0.25	-0.01	15	34%	-0.29	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.35	0.35	0.02	0.32	0.00	3	56%	0.35	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.14
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.12,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.00	11	75%	0.32	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.04
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.13	-0.00	12	69%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.03	12	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	37%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.13	-0.26	-0.01	5	30%	-0.07	5	-0.31	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	27.4	16.5	23.2	2.5	35.0	1.8	17.0	148.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +69.8%

WAS -10.7%

WAS -40.9%

CLE +25.9%

CLE +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	15.1	103.8	109.7	104.2
season	15.1	15.9		102.9	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.8	13.5	20.9	12.6	15.1	15.1
CLE	14.0	15.9	17.9	16.8	12.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	27	27	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.00	8	-13	21	16.1	14.8	1.27	16.3	15.3	0.95
Rasual Butler	89	87	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-14	23	14.6	18.2	-3.58	15.9	13.7	2.18
Kris Humphries	54	52	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-5	5	17.0	13.1	3.88	15.7	15.5	0.12
Otto Porter	39	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-3	1	16.3	14.5	1.79	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Ramon Sessions	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	2	-9	15.4	14.6	0.81	15.6	15.6	-0.07
Martell Webster	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.8	-0.96	15.3	16.3	-1.05
DeJuan Blair	50	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	0	-5	13.1	17.0	-3.88	15.5	15.7	-0.12
Kevin Seraphin	76	75	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	6	-17	15.0	15.6	-0.65	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Will Bynum	39	39	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.49	-13	8	-21	15.0	15.2	-0.22	15.5	15.6	-0.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	63	63	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.29	19	-14	33	15.5	15.7	-0.22	16.0	13.8	2.24
Iman Shumpert	52	54	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-12	29	16.1	15.1	0.94	16.9	13.3	3.57
Kendrick Perkins	55	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	15.2	16.1	-0.92	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Shawn Marion	64	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	2	1	15.5	15.8	-0.37	15.2	15.0	0.26
Tristan Thompson	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	-2	9	16.1	15.3	0.85	18.9	13.1	5.83
Brendan Haywood	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	7	-9	16.1	15.4	0.68	13.0	16.0	-3.00
Joe Harris	35	34	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	9	-13	15.1	15.9	-0.77	13.6	15.9	-2.21
Timofey Mozgov	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	4	-3	15.6	15.6	-0.03	14.1	15.5	-1.36
James Jones	18	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	2	1	18.1	15.1	2.98	16.0	14.9	1.02
Mike Miller	36	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	3	-1	16.0	15.4	0.58	15.1	15.2	-0.12
Kevin Love	40	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	11	-17	14.1	16.5	-2.44	14.3	15.6	-1.36
J.R. Smith	19	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.08	-9	14	-23	15.5	15.6	-0.15	13.5	15.5	-1.97
Kyrie Irving	37	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	0.07	-13	18	-31	15.6	15.6	0.05	13.4	16.2	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.52,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.63,0.77,0.58,0.5,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.76,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.73,1	87.5%
DET 121, PHI 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.83,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.55,0.85,0.42,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.09,1	87.0%
BOS 86, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.87,0.75,0.64,0.77,0.83,1	86.8%