NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	9.4 [77]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +15.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	93		Comeback	3.3 [292]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -57.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	8	76%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	18	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	14	47%	0.10	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	23%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Spencer Hawes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	12	43%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32	-0.12	-0.22	-0.01	8	35%	-0.08	4	-0.24	4	75%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.58	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.46,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52,-0.61,-0.58	-0.12	-0.46	-0.00	20	36%	-0.31	3	-0.27	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.15	0.02	9	54%	0.24	1	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	11	38%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.10	0.00	11	79%	0.27	5	-0.33	2	100%	0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.04	-0.17	0.00	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.22	2	50%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.10	-0.21	-0.01	16	37%	-0.13	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	23.3	16.3	28.5	2.4	31.5	2.3	19.5	147.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +66.1%

MIL +15.6%

MIL +4.2%

PHI -31.5%

PHI -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.4	15.5	88.8	93.0	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		104.6	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	16.1	15.3	17.0	14.0	16.0	15.7
MIL	15.9	17.4	14.3	19.3	14.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	51	50	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-6	6	16.2	15.1	1.07	16.6	16.3	0.26
Jason Kapono	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-6	6	0.0	15.7	-15.68	0.0	16.6	-16.60
Elton Brand	72	72	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-9	12	15.7	15.6	0.09	17.0	15.0	1.99
Lou Williams	28	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	1	-8	16.4	15.4	1.04	16.5	16.4	0.10
Marreese Speights	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	15.4	15.7	-0.38	14.4	16.8	-2.41
Jodie Meeks	78	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.41	5	-11	16	15.3	17.3	-2.09	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Andre Iguodala	77	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-5	4	16.0	14.5	1.48	16.3	16.7	-0.39
Andres Nocioni	25	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	5	-16	15.0	15.9	-0.97	15.8	16.7	-0.85
Thaddeus Young	58	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	2	-10	15.4	16.0	-0.58	17.2	15.3	1.84
Jrue Holiday	87	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	0	-6	15.6	16.0	-0.36	16.3	17.2	-0.93

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	86	84	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	0	6	16.2	17.9	-1.66	15.8	15.1	0.63
Brandon Jennings	85	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	5	-4	16.2	17.7	-1.45	15.6	16.3	-0.77
Keyon Dooling	53	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	0	6	17.3	15.4	1.94	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Andrew Bogut	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	2	2	16.6	15.9	0.69	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Drew Gooden	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	-4	14	18.3	14.3	3.98	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Corey Maggette	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	5	-4	14.7	17.7	-3.04	16.5	15.1	1.47
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	50	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	11	-16	14.5	18.5	-4.06	15.8	15.5	0.28
Michael Redd	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	3	0	17.5	16.3	1.19	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Larry Sanders	19	18	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	3	0	17.4	16.2	1.22	16.4	15.5	0.93
Chris Douglas-Roberts	22	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	5	-4	17.4	16.2	1.26	15.3	15.8	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.76,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.7,0.91,0.91,1	91.0%
LAC 115, MEM 119	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.84,1	88.9%
NJN 85, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.96,1	88.9%