NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	115		Excitement	9.2 [95]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +35.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	119		Comeback	7.1 [100]		LVP	Will Solomon (MEM): -16.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.08	0.02	18	62%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	23	55%	0.14	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	15	47%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	0.01	7	50%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.35	0.35	0.08	0.26	-0.01	14	67%	0.39	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.16	-0.00	12	61%	0.23	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	15	62%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.05
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Grant Long	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	13	51%	-0.05	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.07
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	18	49%	-0.04	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	4	25%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	19.4	2.6	28.1	15.7	25.7	1.8	39.6	1.6	19.5	153.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +55.1%

LAC -13.5%

MEM +7.8%

MEM +10.7%

LAC -10.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	15.0	15.6	109.5	116.7	102.3
season	15.9	15.7		103.6	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.0	14.0	18.2	17.7	12.6	15.7
MEM	17.8	14.8	13.1	16.5	11.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	48	43	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.17	12	-16	28	15.6	15.8	-0.16	13.5	16.1	-2.61
Elton Brand	75	71	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-7	10	16.9	12.9	3.99	15.2	14.5	0.70
Obinna Ekezie	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-4	4	0.0	15.9	-15.87	0.0	15.0	-15.00
Sean Rooks	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-13	22	16.0	15.6	0.48	14.1	15.4	-1.30
Darius Miles	70	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-10	16	15.1	17.0	-1.97	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Quentin Richardson	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-7	10	16.2	14.8	1.40	15.6	13.9	1.68
Corey Maggette	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	15.5	15.9	-0.36	16.1	14.2	1.90
Eric Piatkowski	51	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.16	-12	8	-20	14.8	16.6	-1.85	14.0	15.9	-1.88
Jeff McInnis	57	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	12	-28	15.8	15.6	0.16	16.1	13.5	2.61
Michael Olowokandi	80	79	-0.98	0.48	-1.45	-0.45	-18	14	-32	15.6	16.2	-0.64	15.0	14.9	0.11

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	89	93	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.57	5	-1	6	14.8	16.5	-1.76	16.2	11.8	4.38
Rodney Buford	60	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-4	12	14.9	15.2	-0.32	15.3	16.3	-0.92
Brevin Knight	80	82	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-1	6	15.2	14.1	1.16	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Shane Battier	88	92	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	2	0	15.0	15.0	0.00	16.2	12.4	3.80
Stromile Swift	49	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	-1	6	14.7	15.3	-0.63	15.3	16.1	-0.82
Tony Massenburg	66	68	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	1	2	15.5	14.0	1.55	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Will Solomon	22	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.02	-1	5	-6	14.1	15.2	-1.16	16.3	15.6	0.70
Grant Long	56	57	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.19	-7	11	-18	15.1	14.8	0.32	15.1	16.5	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 120, NOP 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.77,0.83,1	89.0%
PHI 87, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.76,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.73,1	88.9%
MIN 89, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	88.3%