NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Excitement	10.0 [75]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +37.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	3.4 [520]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -90.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.11	0.26	-0.00	14	74%	0.46	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Rashad McCants	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	2	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.21
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	47%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Richie Frahm	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	6	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	11	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.90	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.9	-0.09	-0.82	-0.01	22	43%	-0.77	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.31,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.02	25	53%	0.24	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	87%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	76%	0.17	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.00	4	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.00	11	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.14	-0.01	4	62%	0.07	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.45	-0.26	-0.21	-0.02	25	34%	-0.13	7	-0.32	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	26.4	15.5	23.8	2.0	31.1	1.6	18.8	143.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.9%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +16.2%

MIN -30.6%

PHI +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	16.0	15.6	91.8	91.8	104.4
season	16.1	15.2		101.0	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.9		106.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	12.7	17.4	20.3	16.6	16.9	16.6
PHI	15.5	16.1	14.0	16.9	20.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	63	63	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.08	7	-8	15	17.4	15.1	2.37	16.7	14.7	2.03
Michael Olowokandi	53	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	0	-1	17.0	16.1	0.93	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Rashad McCants	18	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	2	-5	14.0	17.2	-3.19	13.1	16.6	-3.51
Eddie Griffin	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	3	-7	15.2	17.3	-2.14	15.3	16.4	-1.14
Marko Jaric	75	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-1	1	17.3	14.2	3.12	16.2	15.4	0.81
Anthony Carter	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	0	-1	15.7	17.3	-1.60	16.4	15.8	0.59
Richie Frahm	20	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-3	5	16.1	16.7	-0.63	16.7	15.8	0.85
Wally Szczerbiak	91	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	1	-3	16.5	17.8	-1.32	16.0	16.8	-0.82
Kevin Garnett	81	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	16.8	15.4	1.46	15.7	18.1	-2.42

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	26	25	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.74	4	-3	7	17.6	15.5	2.12	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Andre Iguodala	83	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	2	-3	15.8	17.0	-1.16	16.9	14.9	2.05
Shavlik Randolph	17	17	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-7	15	13.9	16.5	-2.52	14.2	17.1	-2.86
Allen Iverson	95	93	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	-3	7	15.9	20.0	-4.11	16.5	17.7	-1.20
Chris Webber	80	80	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.37	-4	5	-9	16.3	14.8	1.52	17.1	14.2	2.86
Samuel Dalembert	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	6	-11	16.6	15.6	0.96	16.1	17.0	-0.89
Steven Hunter	33	31	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	-2	5	14.1	17.0	-2.91	16.9	16.5	0.45
John Salmons	30	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	-2	5	16.2	15.9	0.26	15.4	17.1	-1.78
Kevin Ollie	3	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	4	-7	20.0	15.9	4.11	17.7	16.5	1.20
Kyle Korver	73	73	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.08	-5	6	-11	15.8	16.6	-0.78	17.1	15.2	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, CLE 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.41,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.46,0.69,0.66,0.45,0.83,1	90.6%
LAL 111, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.83,1	89.6%
UTA 96, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.58,1	89.2%