NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	10.3 [48]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (MIA): +69.2%
Miami Heat	114		Comeback	3.3 [263]		LVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): -21.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.52	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.49,0.43,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.52	0.12	0.41	0.01	28	59%	0.66	2	-0.14	10	70%	0.05
Derek Fisher	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.08	0.03	8	78%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	76%	0.16	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	10	35%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.11
Pau Gasol	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	11	38%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Andrew Bynum	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	10	50%	0.03	5	-0.25	4	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69	0.69	0.24	0.47	0.02	13	89%	0.69	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3	0.30	0.07	0.23	0.00	8	67%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.15	-0.00	7	85%	0.29	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	70%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	21	53%	0.24	6	-0.33	9	89%	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.37,-0.37,-0.29,-0.29,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	13	43%	0.14	5	-0.31	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	29.5	19.6	25.3	3.6	38.0	2.4	17.6	166.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +55.4%

MIA +20.2%

LAL -1.6%

LAL -10.7%

LAL -13.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIA	NBA	LAL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.3	108.8	114.0	106.0
season	15.7	16.2		107.9	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		102.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.9	13.4	17.4	16.4	14.5	15.3
MIA	15.1	18.1	18.6	14.9	12.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	76	74	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-1	-1	15.0	16.3	-1.31	16.9	14.0	2.92
Josh Powell	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-3	3	16.2	15.3	0.91	15.3	16.2	-0.88
Derek Fisher	65	62	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-4	5	15.4	15.1	0.31	16.8	15.1	1.66
Shannon Brown	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	3	-9	16.6	14.8	1.75	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Lamar Odom	72	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-7	11	14.9	16.5	-1.61	15.5	17.6	-2.11
Kobe Bryant	89	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	15.2	16.3	-1.12	16.0	17.2	-1.14
Pau Gasol	69	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-3	3	14.4	17.2	-2.78	16.2	16.1	0.03
Andrew Bynum	58	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	7	-17	16.9	13.2	3.66	17.0	14.9	2.06
Jordan Farmar	36	36	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	15.4	15.3	0.17	15.0	16.8	-1.86

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	79	81	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.55	13	-10	23	15.9	17.2	-1.30	15.8	13.7	2.04
Jermaine O'Neal	80	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-7	17	15.5	18.6	-3.11	15.5	14.7	0.78
Dwyane Wade	80	82	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	15.9	17.3	-1.49	14.9	17.1	-2.20
Udonis Haslem	59	60	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.42	-2	5	-7	15.6	17.0	-1.47	14.9	15.9	-0.93
Michael Beasley	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-2	7	17.0	15.6	1.47	15.9	14.9	0.93
Jamaal Magloire	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	4	-5	21.0	15.7	5.32	15.6	15.3	0.30
Mario Chalmers	33	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	10	-17	17.5	15.5	1.93	16.1	15.0	1.13
Joel Anthony	11	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	9	-15	16.7	16.1	0.64	13.9	15.5	-1.60
Quentin Richardson	60	61	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.11	-1	4	-5	16.8	15.2	1.56	14.9	16.0	-1.03
Dorell Wright	37	37	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.12	-4	7	-11	16.2	16.1	0.09	15.6	15.2	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 111, CHA 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.69,1	91.8%
MIA 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	91.3%
POR 111, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	91.3%