NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	11.7 [25]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +96.7%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	4.0 [104]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -45.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.97	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.59,0.97	0.12	0.85	-0.00	19	56%	0.97	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.01	8	48%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.09	0.01	21	41%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Jarron Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.01	4	56%	-0.11	3	-0.08	8	87%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.45	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.10	-0.33	0.02	20	50%	-0.12	7	-0.33	6	83%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.63	0.63	0.03	0.59	-0.02	20	55%	0.79	4	-0.15	13	69%	-0.07
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.01	12	65%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.06	-0.02	8	50%	0.10	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.20	0.02	-0.09	26	32%	0.01	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.07
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	39%	-0.03	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	17	29%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	1.5	28.3	16.3	23.7	2.6	33.1	1.5	11.4	143.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +1.9%

NYK +9.2%

NYK +43.7%

UTA -3.7%

UTA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.4	92.3	92.4	104.5
season	15.9	15.7		107.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.0		106.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	14.3	17.4	15.4	14.0	18.3	15.5
NYK	14.5	14.7	12.8	17.3	16.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	62	61	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.26	8	-9	17	15.3	15.8	-0.46	14.0	16.2	-2.13
Paul Millsap	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	4	-9	17.4	14.9	2.45	16.0	14.6	1.35
Dee Brown	19	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	3	-7	16.3	15.3	1.01	12.4	15.6	-3.21
Andrei Kirilenko	76	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.41	6	-7	13	15.6	15.3	0.28	16.2	11.8	4.35
Jarron Collins	23	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	6	-13	17.1	15.0	2.05	12.8	15.6	-2.87
Mehmet Okur	81	80	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-7	13	15.0	17.1	-2.05	15.6	12.8	2.87
Carlos Boozer	84	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.51	8	-9	17	15.0	17.3	-2.30	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Gordan Giricek	18	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	8	-17	16.8	15.2	1.56	12.9	15.4	-2.46
Deron Williams	85	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.43	3	-4	7	15.3	16.3	-1.01	15.6	12.4	3.21
Matt Harpring	48	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	10	-21	15.0	15.9	-0.99	14.8	15.0	-0.20

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	60	56	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.20	15	-14	29	15.9	13.6	2.27	15.8	15.2	0.60
Malik Rose	32	32	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-12	25	15.0	14.9	0.04	15.5	15.5	0.06
David Lee	90	90	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	1	-1	15.2	13.7	1.49	15.3	16.6	-1.25
Stephon Marbury	90	88	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.51	-6	7	-13	15.2	13.7	1.49	15.4	15.9	-0.45
Eddy Curry	43	45	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	0	1	15.0	14.9	0.02	16.2	15.0	1.21
Jamal Crawford	87	86	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.42	-7	8	-15	14.7	16.1	-1.41	15.7	14.6	1.13
Channing Frye	86	86	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.35	-7	8	-15	15.2	13.9	1.28	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Kelvin Cato	37	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	5	-9	12.3	16.4	-4.04	14.5	16.0	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.99,1	90.1%
MIL 103, IND 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.95,0.96,1	89.6%
MIN 89, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	89.2%