NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	103		Excitement	9.4 [105]		MVP	CJ Miles (IND): +19.3%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	2.9 [682]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -39.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	13	63%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.09
Zaza Pachulia	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	11	57%	0.15	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Miles Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.08	-0.01	20	51%	0.00	3	-0.07	15	80%	0.00
John Henson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	14	35%	-0.12	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.33,-0.4	-0.09	-0.31	-0.00	21	40%	-0.25	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.00	9	78%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.00	15	55%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	17	57%	0.18	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.04
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	83%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.12	-0.01	9	45%	0.13	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	89%	0.11	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	4	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25	-0.25	-0.06	-0.18	0.01	16	47%	-0.12	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	2.5	32.4	16.3	27.3	1.8	27.4	2.4	19.4	156.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +110.6%

MIL -17.5%

MIL -33.5%

MIL -4.3%

MIL -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	15.1	94.5	100.9	104.2
season	14.5	16.0		100.5	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.7		102.0	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	13.2	14.8	14.5	17.7	14.3	14.9
IND	14.5	12.9	14.3	15.8	15.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	70	70	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.32	13	-19	32	15.5	13.8	1.73	14.9	13.6	1.23
Giannis Antetokounmpo	68	69	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.19	7	-13	20	15.4	14.1	1.26	15.1	13.2	1.95
Miles Plumlee	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-5	4	14.0	15.0	-1.03	12.5	14.8	-2.25
Zaza Pachulia	68	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-10	14	15.6	13.6	2.04	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Tyler Ennis	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	4	-14	15.9	14.5	1.41	14.1	14.5	-0.44
John Henson	24	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	1	-8	13.8	15.2	-1.34	15.9	14.0	1.92
Michael Carter-Williams	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-4	2	14.4	16.3	-1.92	14.5	14.1	0.46
Chris Johnson	52	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	3	-12	14.7	15.1	-0.36	13.4	15.3	-1.88
Khris Middleton	94	93	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	14.7	15.9	-1.14	14.5	14.3	0.18
Jared Dudley	40	38	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.04	-21	15	-36	13.5	15.7	-2.22	13.6	14.9	-1.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	73	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-10	26	14.7	13.9	0.84	15.1	14.3	0.83
Luis Scola	68	66	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	-6	18	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.1	14.6	0.46
George Hill	65	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	2	2	13.6	15.7	-2.04	14.9	14.8	0.07
CJ Miles	63	63	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	5	-4	14.2	14.7	-0.45	14.7	15.2	-0.51
David West	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.32	-1	7	-8	14.9	13.9	1.03	15.0	14.7	0.29
Damjan Rudez	27	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	4	-2	14.2	14.5	-0.32	13.2	15.4	-2.25
Lavoy Allen	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	2	2	14.9	14.2	0.66	14.0	15.2	-1.26
CJ Watson	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	1	4	15.4	13.7	1.75	14.6	15.1	-0.43
Ian Mahinmi	60	62	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	11	-16	13.8	15.2	-1.45	15.3	14.3	1.06
Solomon Hill	52	53	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	14	-22	14.4	14.4	-0.01	15.4	14.4	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.99,1	90.2%
POR 92, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.82,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.91,0.95,1	90.1%
CLE 90, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.96,1,1,1	89.6%