NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	7.6 [311]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +38.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	3.5 [682]		LVP	Darrell Arthur (MEM): -20.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.39	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.01	0.37	-0.01	23	54%	0.47	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.04	8	79%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Greg Buckner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	15	46%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.15	-0.01	13	50%	-0.11	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	8	37%	-0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.13	-0.02	16	70%	0.30	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.02	3	80%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.07	0.04	23	65%	0.18	4	-0.17	8	75%	-0.04
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	31.3	15.8	28.3	2.4	34.7	1.8	13.3	150.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +45.3%

MEM -12.8%

OKC +29.4%

MEM -8.7%

MEM -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.5	99.0	108.6	106.4
season	16.1	14.9		101.7	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	14.3	16.3	16.3	13.4	15.9	15.2
OKC	17.6	13.2	15.7	15.9	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	73	76	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-17	22	14.9	15.7	-0.77	16.2	13.4	2.77
Greg Buckner	2	2	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-6	0	26.5	14.9	11.57	20.0	15.3	4.67
Mike Conley	75	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	15.3	14.7	0.56	16.0	14.0	2.01
Darrell Arthur	71	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-8	4	15.3	14.8	0.54	15.5	15.3	0.14
Rudy Gay	91	91	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-11	10	15.4	13.5	1.87	15.2	16.9	-1.74
Darius Miles	20	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-7	2	15.6	15.0	0.55	13.1	15.9	-2.89
Quinton Ross	24	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	14.0	15.5	-1.45	14.5	15.8	-1.25
Hakim Warrick	32	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	14.8	15.3	-0.54	15.3	15.5	-0.14
Kyle Lowry	28	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	14.7	15.3	-0.56	14.0	16.0	-2.01
O.J. Mayo	89	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-3	-6	15.0	16.3	-1.31	15.8	13.1	2.78

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	69	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-2	16	15.1	16.1	-0.97	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Nenad Krstic	54	52	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-1	14	14.4	16.5	-2.08	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Kevin Durant	98	96	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.15	9	3	6	15.4	15.4	-0.01	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Russell Westbrook	65	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	2	8	16.0	14.4	1.57	15.4	14.7	0.70
Jeff Green	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	4	4	15.8	14.2	1.60	15.3	14.7	0.59
Chris Wilcox	32	30	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	5	2	14.5	15.8	-1.37	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Chucky Atkins	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	6	0	14.3	15.9	-1.65	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Nick Collison	51	51	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	13	-14	16.5	14.4	2.08	16.3	14.1	2.18
Desmond Mason	45	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.11	-6	18	-24	15.9	15.1	0.78	15.7	14.7	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 100, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.94,0.97,1	90.7%
MIL 103, IND 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.73,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.95,0.96,1	90.2%
UTA 96, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.58,1	90.1%