NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	100		Excitement	8.1 [226]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +31.8%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	2.0 [839]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -15.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.25	-0.03	0.24	-0.04	26	50%	0.29	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Bo Outlaw	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Scott Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	19	47%	-0.07	2	-0.07	13	62%	-0.05
Shawn Marion	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	25	43%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.16	0.16	0.00	25	68%	0.36	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.08
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	6	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	7	44%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	11	42%	-0.05	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-0.04	18	33%	-0.07	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	34.4	2.0	26.2	2.4	37.1	1.7	22.2	149.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +26.8%

SAS +12.0%

SAS +15.9%

PHX -8.9%

SAS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.3	15.5	99.0	104.9	101.6
season	15.0	15.7		101.1	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		96.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	12.6	17.1	16.8	14.7	12.7	14.9
SAS	16.2	15.0	18.3	16.6	14.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	5	6	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.26	1	-9	10	9.4	15.2	-5.77	5.7	16.9	-11.27
Bo Outlaw	29	31	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.11	1	-9	10	14.7	15.0	-0.32	15.6	16.6	-0.91
Randy Brown	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-9	10	16.9	14.1	2.83	16.7	16.1	0.57
Joe Johnson	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-4	0	14.6	15.1	-0.51	16.3	16.3	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	23	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	4	-16	14.2	15.1	-0.86	16.3	16.3	-0.00
Scott Williams	47	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-6	4	15.1	14.7	0.42	16.9	15.8	1.10
Casey Jacobsen	56	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-6	4	15.2	14.5	0.67	16.5	16.0	0.58
Amar'e Stoudemire	82	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	15.1	13.8	1.34	16.3	16.1	0.23
Shawn Marion	97	99	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-2	-4	14.6	21.0	-6.37	16.5	11.0	5.49
Stephon Marbury	94	96	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	2	-12	14.7	17.6	-2.89	16.3	15.7	0.61

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	62	61	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.46	7	1	6	16.5	16.0	0.43	15.4	14.1	1.29
Tony Parker	96	94	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-2	12	16.3	15.7	0.61	14.7	17.6	-2.89
Tim Duncan	99	96	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	0	8	16.3	15.7	0.55	14.8	16.8	-2.02
Bruce Bowen	62	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	1	6	16.2	16.5	-0.30	15.3	14.3	0.98
Stephen Jackson	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.07	10	-2	12	15.6	17.6	-2.04	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Malik Rose	27	28	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	4	0	15.7	16.5	-0.83	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Steve Kerr	26	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	9	-10	16.9	16.1	0.86	15.4	14.7	0.64
Kevin Willis	17	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	17.3	16.1	1.21	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Manu Ginobili	20	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	10	-12	17.0	16.1	0.89	14.9	14.9	0.09
Steven Smith	38	38	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.23	-3	11	-14	16.4	16.2	0.26	14.8	15.0	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.94,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.99,1	90.7%
IND 110, UTA 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.95,1	90.6%
CLE 91, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.77,0.99,1	90.4%