NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	7.8 [276]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +23.9%
Utah Jazz	114		Comeback	1.9 [635]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -20.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	16	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	15	63%	0.11	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	9	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.04	17	61%	0.12	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.11
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.07	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.06	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.15	0.01	20	57%	0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	6	87%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	5	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	9	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.16	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	12	52%	0.17	6	-0.34	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	29.1	15.6	26.3	1.7	34.5	2.7	22.0	156.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.4%

IND -0.6%

IND -8.4%

UTA +9.0%

UTA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	15.7	15.4	113.4	116.3	104.1
season	16.1	16.0		102.4	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.8	17.4	20.5	16.6	13.3	16.9
UTA	15.2	16.0	13.8	16.9	18.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	45	45	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.01	9	-13	22	17.6	16.2	1.37	16.0	15.5	0.45
Tyler Hansbrough	22	22	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-7	10	15.3	17.3	-2.03	16.1	15.6	0.52
Orlando Johnson	14	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-1	-2	14.1	17.3	-3.21	16.8	15.6	1.19
Ian Mahinmi	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-3	2	18.3	16.2	2.13	16.5	15.4	1.05
Jeff Ayres	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	1	-6	17.8	16.8	1.02	12.3	16.1	-3.83
Lance Stephenson	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	3	-10	17.7	16.2	1.41	14.0	17.2	-3.21
Roy Hibbert	63	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-2	0	16.6	17.4	-0.72	16.1	15.1	0.94
Paul George	87	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-5	6	16.8	17.8	-1.02	16.1	12.3	3.83
George Hill	82	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	16.9	16.7	0.26	15.9	14.5	1.44
David West	77	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	4	-12	16.9	16.6	0.30	15.2	17.6	-2.41

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	52	53	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-6	16	15.3	16.2	-0.87	16.5	17.3	-0.75
Paul Millsap	73	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	15.3	17.0	-1.70	16.5	17.9	-1.42
Al Jefferson	68	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	1	2	16.0	15.2	0.82	17.0	16.6	0.41
Earl Watson	57	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	2	0	16.6	14.6	1.98	16.5	17.5	-1.00
Gordon Hayward	55	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	7	-10	16.9	14.2	2.76	16.9	16.9	-0.05
Marvin Williams	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	0	4	14.9	16.5	-1.70	18.4	15.4	2.99
Jamaal Tinsley	41	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	0	4	14.6	16.6	-1.98	17.5	16.5	1.00
Derrick Favors	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	4	-4	16.3	15.4	0.86	17.7	16.5	1.23
Enes Kanter	21	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	5	-6	16.2	15.6	0.58	16.5	17.0	-0.48
DeMarre Carroll	43	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	9	-14	15.3	16.1	-0.73	15.6	17.9	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 100, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.94,0.97,1	90.6%
CLE 90, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.96,1,1,1	90.3%
MIA 91, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.9,0.95,1	89.6%