NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	8.9 [151]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (CHI): +31.2%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	1.9 [876]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -20.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.00	8	78%	0.28	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.19	0.22	-0.01	28	39%	0.13	3	-0.09	11	45%	-0.15
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	41%	-0.00	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	2	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.09
Drew Gooden	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.01	-0.21	-0.01	21	55%	-0.15	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.06	0.28	0.02	7	75%	0.34	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.06	-0.03	12	53%	0.12	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	7	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	20	46%	0.09	4	-0.13	6	67%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	31.2	20.3	29.3	2.8	41.0	1.8	14.7	172.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +51.4%

CHI +9.4%

CHI +6.0%

CLE -2.9%

CLE -14.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	15.9	15.5	90.9	105.2	104.0
season	16.2	15.1		104.6	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		98.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	14.4	17.8	19.5	14.3	17.6	16.6
CHI	18.5	14.9	13.8	16.3	15.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	14	16	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.13	7	-19	26	13.4	17.1	-3.73	17.4	15.6	1.78
Eric Snow	33	31	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-16	20	16.8	16.4	0.39	17.6	15.1	2.49
Ira Newble	40	38	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-12	12	15.9	17.0	-1.06	17.5	14.8	2.70
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-9	6	16.6	16.4	0.22	16.5	14.7	1.77
DeSagana Diop	3	2	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-9	6	19.3	16.5	2.86	11.0	16.0	-4.99
Anderson Varejao	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-9	6	17.5	16.3	1.25	13.7	16.6	-2.89
Robert Traylor	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-9	6	16.1	16.7	-0.63	14.6	16.4	-1.74
Drew Gooden	80	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	0	-12	16.3	17.8	-1.53	16.6	12.9	3.72
Lucious Harris	36	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	18.2	15.6	2.66	13.4	17.2	-3.86
LeBron James	99	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	16.6	0.0	16.56	15.9	0.0	15.89
Jeff McInnis	66	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	4	-20	16.4	16.8	-0.39	15.1	17.6	-2.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	71	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	4	4	17.2	12.3	4.89	16.1	17.9	-1.77
Ben Gordon	77	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-1	14	15.0	19.4	-4.49	16.1	18.1	-2.03
Antonio Davis	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	0	12	16.3	12.3	4.00	16.7	15.8	0.82
Tyson Chandler	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-3	18	14.9	17.6	-2.79	16.3	16.9	-0.64
Luol Deng	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	9	-6	14.4	16.7	-2.36	16.6	16.5	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	64	66	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	5	2	16.3	15.1	1.16	16.1	17.5	-1.39
Othella Harrington	37	41	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	11	-10	15.9	15.8	0.10	17.5	15.9	1.59
Chris Duhon	20	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	13	-14	19.4	15.0	4.49	18.1	16.1	2.03
Jannero Pargo	34	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.20	2	10	-8	14.7	16.5	-1.86	17.5	16.1	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.9,0.95,1	92.6%
HOU 104, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1	91.1%
IND 110, UTA 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.95,1	90.3%