NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	8.7 [116]		MVP	John Starks (UTA): +32.7%
Utah Jazz	116		Comeback	1.9 [818]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -18.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.03	0.25	-0.00	3	87%	0.34	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	15	67%	0.28	2	-0.10	9	56%	-0.07
Moochie Norris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	3	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Collier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	9	55%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	14	55%	-0.05	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.07
Walt Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	17	38%	-0.13	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.25	0.01	13	68%	0.36	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.16	-0.01	26	52%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	18	62%	0.23	3	-0.14	6	83%	0.03
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.03	15	55%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.4	16.4	28.4	2.5	34.4	1.4	13.2	150.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.0%

HOU -12.7%

UTA +19.6%

HOU -7.6%

UTA +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.5	103.0	113.7	100.9
season	16.3	16.0		104.6	105.3
opponent	15.5	14.9		100.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	17.1	17.7	15.4	16.2	13.2	16.3
UTA	14.9	15.7	15.2	13.2	18.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	52	56	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-16	20	15.8	16.8	-0.91	16.1	13.8	2.27
Jason Collier	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-10	8	0.0	16.4	-16.45	4.0	15.2	-11.16
Moochie Norris	28	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-8	4	16.1	16.3	-0.20	15.9	14.8	1.09
Dan Langhi	16	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-4	-4	17.4	16.1	1.29	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Walt Williams	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-1	-10	15.2	16.8	-1.62	14.9	15.1	-0.16
Maurice Taylor	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-10	8	17.7	13.4	4.33	15.7	13.9	1.75
Cuttino Mobley	90	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-6	0	16.2	16.7	-0.49	15.2	13.7	1.57
Matt Bullard	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	1	-14	15.8	16.8	-0.94	13.4	16.7	-3.27
Shandon Anderson	91	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-1	-10	16.2	17.3	-1.12	15.1	14.7	0.39
Steve Francis	78	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-5	-2	16.3	16.2	0.09	14.8	16.0	-1.20

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	84	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	0	12	15.2	14.5	0.67	16.6	14.8	1.77
Danny Manning	44	42	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	4	4	15.0	15.1	-0.01	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Donyell Marshall	92	91	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	7	-2	15.6	10.1	5.49	16.5	14.4	2.09
David Benoit	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	1	10	14.0	15.8	-1.79	15.7	16.7	-1.02
Jacque Vaughn	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	3	6	15.2	14.9	0.31	16.4	16.2	0.28
John Stockton	74	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	8	-4	15.1	15.0	0.02	16.5	15.6	0.89
Quincy Lewis	22	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	5	2	12.4	15.8	-3.37	15.6	16.5	-0.88
John Starks	74	73	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	14	-16	14.9	15.3	-0.38	16.4	15.9	0.55
Olden Polynice	24	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	18	-24	15.5	14.9	0.64	17.2	16.0	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.73,0.5,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.92,1	91.7%
WAS 114, NJN 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.69,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.97,0.99,1	91.4%
CLE 90, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.96,1,1,1	91.1%