inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 106 Excitement10.9 [39] MVPAnthony Tolliver (SAC): +17.1%
Sacramento Kings 109 Comeback1.9 [76] LVPDeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -37.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaun Livingston0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.00480%0.0800.002100%0.01
Kevon Looney0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001100%0.061-0.022100%0.01
James Michael McAdoo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee-0.000,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01343%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Patrick McCaw-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.030.00520%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.120.00-0.13-0.012550%-0.023-0.102100%0.01
Stephen Curry-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.31,0.34,0.24,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.21,-0.130.21-0.35-0.012076%-0.013-0.13683%0.05
Kevin Durant-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.07-0.001037%-0.063-0.09786%0.02
Draymond Green-0.160,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16-0.11-0.050.011547%0.186-0.34425%-0.04

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.100.070.005110%0.221-0.0500%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.130.130.060.090.021364%0.212-0.082100%0.01
Ben McLemore0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.020.00656%0.0500.00683%0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.010.001258%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.001050%0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Malachi Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.06-0.00750%0.104-0.1100%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.040.00322%-0.0600.00367%-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.4,-0.4,-0.34,-0.32,-0.28,-0.37-0.37-0.09-0.270.013048%-0.207-0.176100%0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.62.530.114.828.62.029.72.517.2154.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +29.7%
GSW -0.2%
SAC +17.0%
SAC +7.4%
GSW -3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSACNBAGSWSACNBA
this game13.216.814.899.1103.8107.7
season13.515.4114.9106.0
opponent14.615.1110.0103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW11.913.812.915.112.313.2
SAC14.316.219.018.516.416.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Iguodala60590.03-0.530.570.06-1-2113.313.10.2116.317.4-1.15
Kevon Looney25250.00-0.500.500.03-1-2111.013.9-2.9317.016.70.22
JaVale McGee2527-0.02-0.480.45-0.113-6913.313.20.0516.416.9-0.57
Patrick McCaw1919-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-2110.813.8-2.9815.517.1-1.54
Draymond Green8582-0.17-0.330.17-0.346-91513.611.71.9117.414.62.85
Shaun Livingston3232-0.20-0.300.090.00-74-1116.012.13.8916.816.80.08
Stephen Curry8684-0.21-0.290.09-0.324-71112.217.4-5.1516.916.20.75
Kevin Durant8786-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.466-91512.616.2-3.7017.115.21.93
James Michael McAdoo1817-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.03-107-1718.212.25.9214.617.2-2.56
Klay Thompson8784-0.790.29-1.07-0.46-118-1913.811.02.7616.916.50.33

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Barnes66680.64-0.140.780.3510-71716.018.1-2.0513.612.60.95
Anthony Tolliver71710.52-0.020.550.414-1516.716.9-0.1413.911.92.08
Darren Collison64660.330.170.160.48-58-1317.515.61.9412.614.2-1.58
DeMarcus Cousins81840.310.190.120.40-36-917.315.22.1012.217.0-4.73
Ty Lawson41420.190.31-0.13-0.1110-71715.617.5-1.9413.912.81.13
Malachi Richardson13120.140.36-0.22-0.015-2715.916.9-0.9915.313.02.35
Willie Cauley-Stein33330.110.39-0.28-0.014-1515.517.4-1.8215.812.13.72
Kosta Koufos27270.020.48-0.460.05-14-516.916.80.0812.413.5-1.07
Arron Afflalo5959-0.130.63-0.750.08-710-1718.115.12.9913.313.10.18
Ben McLemore6062-0.140.64-0.780.01-58-1316.617.0-0.3312.314.6-2.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.73,0.5,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 104, UTA 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,191.7%
DAL 86, SEA 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,190.8%
CLE 101, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.99,190.7%