NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	9.9 [63]		MVP	Juwan Howard (ORL): +18.2%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	1.5 [803]		LVP	Drew Gooden (ORL): -49.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	10	82%	0.35	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Jason Kapono	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	61%	0.03	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.47	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.35,-0.41,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.47	-0.07	-0.42	-0.02	28	56%	-0.14	8	-0.33	5	80%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.03	0.17	-0.04	18	47%	0.23	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.05	29	61%	0.17	2	-0.08	9	67%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	9	52%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	6	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5,-0.5	-0.50	-0.10	-0.40	-0.00	19	31%	-0.50	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.7	4.4	30.2	18.7	26.1	2.8	36.0	6.6	14.1	163.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -18.6%

CLE -12.5%

ORL +25.2%

ORL +50.5%

ORL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	16.1	17.6	15.7	106.3	120.2	100.5
season	15.7	15.7		99.8	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	17.7	15.8	15.1	15.7	15.9	16.1
ORL	15.8	17.6	17.6	19.5	17.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-13	14	16.4	15.9	0.48	16.7	18.1	-1.43
Jason Kapono	3	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-9	6	10.0	16.3	-6.27	12.0	17.7	-5.71
Ira Newble	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-13	14	17.1	15.5	1.60	16.8	18.1	-1.25
J.R. Bremer	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-5	-2	18.1	15.7	2.34	18.5	17.4	1.07
Carlos Boozer	78	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-8	4	15.8	17.4	-1.63	17.3	18.9	-1.63
Tony Battie	62	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-10	8	16.0	16.2	-0.21	18.9	15.3	3.54
Eric Williams	68	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	15.4	17.7	-2.28	17.9	16.9	1.03
LeBron James	86	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-3	-6	16.0	17.1	-1.15	17.1	22.2	-5.13
Kevin Ollie	48	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	0	-12	15.6	16.5	-0.86	19.1	16.2	2.90
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	3	-18	17.0	15.1	1.92	16.7	18.5	-1.88

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	51	51	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.48	10	2	8	18.6	16.3	2.28	15.8	16.3	-0.50
Rod Strickland	54	53	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.10	17	-5	22	16.6	18.9	-2.25	16.2	16.0	0.17
Tracy McGrady	88	88	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	2	8	17.7	16.0	1.69	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Drew Gooden	72	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	1	10	18.0	16.1	1.95	16.2	15.5	0.77
Juwan Howard	75	74	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	6	0	17.2	18.9	-1.71	15.8	17.0	-1.13
Andrew DeClercq	30	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	12	-12	16.3	18.2	-1.94	15.9	16.2	-0.25
Zaza Pachulia	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	8	-4	22.4	17.1	5.37	19.6	15.7	3.85
Tyronn Lue	42	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	14	-16	18.5	16.8	1.74	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Gordan Giricek	49	51	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.37	4	8	-4	16.3	19.0	-2.67	16.4	15.7	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.73,0.5,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.92,1	90.7%
MIA 104, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.9,0.99,1	90.6%
MIN 102, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.53,0.79,0.83,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.87,1	90.0%