inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 104 Excitement9.5 [98] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +37.1%
Toronto Raptors 112 Comeback2.1 [720] LVPGoran Dragic (MIA): -35.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.19-0.010.19-0.021849%0.253-0.06580%0.00
Joe Johnson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.110.080.040.012164%0.244-0.132100%0.02
Justise Winslow0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.04-0.00950%0.071-0.02475%-0.02
Hassan Whiteside0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.021246%0.061-0.02475%-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.03-0.01440%0.031-0.022100%0.02
Gerald Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.04-0.00932%-0.0000.004100%0.04
Josh Richardson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.00747%-0.0100.00333%-0.04
Goran Dragic-0.350,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35,-0.35-0.13-0.220.011834%-0.163-0.192100%0.04

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.370.370.090.28-0.002657%0.463-0.091580%0.13
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.110.090.021171%0.211-0.036100%0.03
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.040.14-0.00856%0.1800.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.00558%0.0700.002100%0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.01767%0.071-0.0210%-0.02
Luis Scola0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00050%0.001-0.02450%-0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.000.011642%0.044-0.156100%0.07
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.050.01733%-0.082-0.074100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.31.829.215.425.31.540.71.818.0156.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +33.9%
TOR +16.8%
MIA -0.3%
TOR +4.2%
MIA -4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game14.915.314.998.1106.7105.1
season15.516.1104.5107.2
opponent14.815.1104.6103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA17.014.612.615.515.114.9
TOR15.015.416.215.812.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow76760.20-0.700.910.171-91013.817.5-3.6615.814.01.80
Josh Richardson47460.16-0.660.830.25-3-5216.513.62.9717.113.93.20
Amar'e Stoudemire4140-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-7614.115.4-1.3115.715.00.74
Gerald Green4037-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-8817.113.53.5316.714.52.26
Joe Johnson8889-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.17-6-2-414.118.9-4.8315.613.62.01
Luol Deng7878-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.26-5-3-214.715.4-0.7013.819.5-5.72
Goran Dragic8585-0.570.07-0.63-0.30-91-1014.715.4-0.6914.418.9-4.55
Hassan Whiteside6463-0.870.37-1.24-0.60-91-1015.513.91.6515.315.20.09

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Patterson70710.65-0.150.790.2314-62015.714.41.3015.413.81.65
Kyle Lowry90900.53-0.030.560.269-11015.016.9-1.8715.014.20.74
Cory Joseph58590.470.030.440.2962415.315.3-0.0215.114.60.58
Bismack Biyombo38410.300.200.090.2135-214.215.9-1.7016.413.92.55
Jonas Valanciunas67650.280.220.060.1353215.914.21.7013.916.4-2.55
DeMar DeRozan86870.260.240.010.1444015.514.41.0314.317.3-2.97
Terrence Ross34370.180.32-0.130.0453216.114.91.1717.313.63.68
James Johnson47450.060.44-0.380.09-19-1014.915.6-0.7113.416.0-2.61
Luis Scola3535-0.220.72-0.95-0.08-513-1814.415.7-1.3013.815.4-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.9,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 101, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.99,190.6%
PHI 95, NOH 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,189.5%
LAC 109, SAC 1160.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.99,189.4%