NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	109		Excitement	10.4 [37]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +11.5%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	2.5 [791]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -37.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.00	9	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	12	59%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.06	-0.15	-0.00	12	69%	0.09	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miles	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	15	40%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.09
Jeff McInnis	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	0.01	-0.18	0.00	15	53%	-0.08	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.37	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.09	-0.24	0.04	19	45%	-0.18	3	-0.19	6	67%	0.06

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	11	69%	0.16	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	17	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.18
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	13	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	89%	0.07	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.13,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.02	-0.34	0.01	27	53%	-0.01	4	-0.36	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	1.5	26.5	15.5	23.4	2.4	36.5	2.4	13.5	144.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +31.6%

SAC +24.3%

LAC -3.2%

LAC -1.0%

LAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	13.8	15.5	104.8	111.5	100.9
season	16.1	14.4		99.5	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.9	16.2	16.8	17.3	16.3	16.8
SAC	12.6	12.6	14.5	14.6	17.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	52	51	0.46	-0.96	1.43	0.08	13	-20	33	14.8	18.7	-3.85	12.6	14.9	-2.28
Corey Maggette	50	50	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.17	8	-15	23	16.8	16.7	0.06	14.2	13.5	0.72
Jeff McInnis	84	84	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	16.4	18.3	-1.90	13.5	15.0	-1.54
Darius Miles	68	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.29	1	-8	9	16.4	17.4	-0.99	14.2	13.1	1.09
Cherokee Parks	34	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	1	-9	17.9	16.2	1.65	13.1	14.1	-0.98
Keyon Dooling	20	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-3	-1	18.3	16.4	1.90	15.0	13.5	1.54
Lamar Odom	85	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	16.9	16.1	0.88	13.8	13.9	-0.17
Eric Piatkowski	76	77	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	6	-19	16.2	18.2	-2.03	13.5	14.8	-1.31
Michael Olowokandi	51	50	-1.17	0.67	-1.84	-0.47	-24	17	-41	19.0	14.7	4.30	15.1	12.6	2.57

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	66	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-8	23	14.2	13.2	1.02	16.9	16.5	0.35
Chris Webber	93	94	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.24	13	-6	19	13.7	14.5	-0.72	17.0	15.0	1.96
Bobby Jackson	45	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	1	5	14.8	13.1	1.71	17.3	16.4	0.95
Peja Stojakovic	89	89	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-4	15	14.0	12.6	1.41	16.9	15.7	1.21
Doug Christie	73	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	1	5	13.5	14.5	-0.92	16.5	17.4	-0.92
Scot Pollard	36	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	11	-15	13.1	14.2	-1.11	16.9	16.7	0.14
Jason Williams	58	59	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	6	-5	13.2	14.6	-1.36	16.6	16.9	-0.29
Jon Barry	15	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	12.8	14.0	-1.18	16.2	16.9	-0.64
Lawrence Funderburke	11	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	13	-19	14.5	13.7	0.72	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Hedo Turkoglu	34	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	10	-13	14.1	13.7	0.42	16.3	17.0	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	90.0%
MIA 104, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.9,0.99,1	89.4%
MIN 100, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.89,0.84,1	88.8%