NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	11.0 [26]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +28.6%
San Antonio Spurs	106		Comeback	11.1 [120]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -33.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25	0.02	0.21	-0.03	14	50%	0.25	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.02	0.17	0.01	13	59%	0.41	2	-0.23	3	100%	0.05
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.06	0.12	0.00	3	37%	0.15	2	-0.09	2	50%	0.19
Felipe Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	10	52%	-0.06	4	-0.11	9	78%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.33,-0.39,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.09	-0.25	-0.01	20	49%	-0.09	4	-0.24	9	89%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	-0.00	0.29	-0.00	10	56%	0.29	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.05
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	6	100%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,0.06,0,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.12	0.13	-0.02	14	57%	0.21	7	-0.18	12	58%	-0.05
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	22	55%	0.05	7	-0.19	11	82%	-0.07
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	0.01	6	29%	-0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	28.0	19.6	30.4	2.8	44.0	1.6	18.2	172.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.7%

MIN -20.1%

MIN -10.8%

SAS +25.5%

SAS +19.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.5	98.0	101.9	100.9
season	15.0	15.9		102.9	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.9		96.5	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	14.9	17.1	14.3	15.3	13.4	15.1
SAS	13.4	19.8	13.4	16.7	17.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	28	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-9	12	15.2	15.1	0.16	15.8	15.7	0.14
Reggie Slater	57	58	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-11	16	16.3	13.7	2.59	16.9	14.2	2.71
Sam Mitchell	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-4	2	0.0	15.1	-15.14	5.0	15.8	-10.83
Felipe Lopez	27	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-9	12	16.9	14.5	2.43	18.9	14.6	4.33
Dean Garrett	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	1	-8	14.9	15.2	-0.29	13.4	16.6	-3.15
Terrell Brandon	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	14.5	17.7	-3.19	15.1	18.0	-2.82
LaPhonso Ellis	50	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	16.1	14.2	1.81	17.0	14.5	2.48
Kevin Garnett	78	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-3	0	14.5	17.1	-2.54	16.5	13.3	3.17
Wally Szczerbiak	91	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	14.7	18.5	-3.72	14.8	22.5	-7.65
Anthony Peeler	69	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.18	-13	7	-20	14.8	15.8	-1.01	14.6	18.1	-3.50

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	79	79	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-6	18	16.5	13.4	3.02	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Tim Duncan	96	95	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	15.3	20.9	-5.57	15.3	12.9	2.45
Derek Anderson	92	90	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-3	12	14.9	22.2	-7.28	14.8	17.5	-2.68
Avery Johnson	50	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	3	0	16.8	14.7	2.10	15.9	14.5	1.45
Danny Ferry	67	66	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	2	2	16.3	14.7	1.55	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Antonio Daniels	44	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	9	-12	15.2	16.1	-0.95	15.8	14.7	1.14
Terry Porter	51	55	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.17	-1	7	-8	15.0	16.4	-1.40	14.5	15.9	-1.48
Samaki Walker	31	28	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	16	-26	16.0	15.6	0.38	16.0	14.8	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.89,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1	90.5%
MIA 90, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.99,1	90.4%
OKC 119, DAL 128	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	89.9%