NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	90		Excitement	9.1 [126]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +12.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	2.1 [715]		LVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): -32.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	72%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	8	37%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	73%	0.13	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	4	50%	0.07	3	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.06,0,0,-0.1,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25	-0.03	-0.22	0.01	18	46%	-0.11	2	-0.15	5	20%	-0.13
Chris Bosh	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33	0.05	-0.37	0.01	21	51%	-0.28	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	10	74%	0.20	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.10	-0.01	17	47%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.02	11	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.03	18	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.06
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	8	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	0.03	-0.24	0.01	12	55%	-0.18	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.6	15.7	23.0	1.7	37.4	2.3	18.5	155.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -2.4%

MEM +19.1%

MIA -29.6%

MEM +52.4%

MEM +10.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	MEM	NBA	MIA	MEM	NBA
this game	17.0	18.9	14.9	101.1	112.5	105.1
season	15.5	15.7		104.5	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.1		106.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	15.8	17.3	17.6	18.0	15.8	17.0
MEM	18.5	19.7	19.4	19.9	15.8	18.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	21	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-11	13	14.0	17.9	-3.94	21.5	18.2	3.31
Luol Deng	58	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-4	-1	17.2	16.7	0.51	18.3	20.2	-1.87
Amar'e Stoudemire	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-8	7	15.8	17.4	-1.57	21.4	18.2	3.22
Hassan Whiteside	61	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	17.6	15.6	2.00	18.5	19.8	-1.25
Chris Bosh	68	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-7	5	16.6	18.4	-1.86	19.2	18.1	1.10
Gerald Green	36	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	15.8	17.8	-2.02	19.4	18.7	0.69
Dwyane Wade	61	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-1	-7	18.2	14.5	3.66	18.4	20.3	-1.94
Goran Dragic	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	2	-13	17.9	14.0	3.94	18.2	21.5	-3.31
Tyler Johnson	51	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.42	-8	-1	-7	16.6	17.6	-0.94	19.2	18.6	0.57

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Chalmers	40	38	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.58	12	-3	15	18.6	19.2	-0.65	15.4	18.2	-2.78
Jeff Green	63	62	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.20	17	-8	25	19.1	18.4	0.74	17.1	16.7	0.44
Marc Gasol	75	76	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.19	15	-6	21	18.0	24.3	-6.31	17.3	15.4	1.90
Tony Allen	51	52	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.25	-8	17	-25	20.0	17.4	2.59	17.3	16.6	0.62
Vince Carter	15	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	11	-13	19.8	18.8	1.05	13.5	17.8	-4.38
Mike Conley	54	56	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.11	2	7	-5	18.7	19.3	-0.54	18.3	14.8	3.44
Zach Randolph	55	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.20	3	6	-3	18.8	19.2	-0.35	18.0	15.5	2.49
Ryan Hollins	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	15	-21	24.3	18.0	6.31	15.4	17.3	-1.90
JaMychal Green	10	12	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	17	-25	22.0	18.5	3.46	13.8	17.5	-3.67
Courtney Lee	44	46	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.29	2	7	-5	18.5	19.3	-0.77	17.8	16.2	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 96, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.86,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	92.1%
DET 96, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	90.5%
ORL 115, DET 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.72,0.47,0.27,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.75,0.73,1	90.4%