inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 96 Excitement9.0 [97] MVPJalen Rose (IND): +7.9%
Indiana Pacers 99 Comeback2.3 [497] LVPDavid Wesley (CHH): -29.7%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim James0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00333%0.0100.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02-0.00-0.010.01567%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Hersey Hawkins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00350%-0.0300.00475%0.00
Lee Nailon-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.120,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.010.001450%0.045-0.168100%0.04
Jamal Mashburn-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.170.03-0.170.032257%-0.093-0.08560%-0.02
Baron Davis-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.08-0.090.001544%0.013-0.194100%0.03
David Wesley-0.300,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.04-0.210.051560%-0.096-0.2100%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.18,0.18,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.080.080.05-0.02-0.052169%0.526-0.441080%0.02
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Austin Croshere0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.00-0.061036%0.0200.002100%0.01
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.010.00956%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01945%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Derrick McKey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Terry Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.040.021649%-0.062-0.04580%0.00
Travis Best0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.030.001344%-0.052-0.066100%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game21.72.529.316.425.62.532.21.619.0150.6
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +61.0%
IND +4.0%
CHH -46.7%
IND +33.5%
CHH -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHINDNBACHHINDNBA
this game16.315.815.596.0101.0100.9
season15.815.999.799.3
opponent15.615.699.997.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHH14.015.217.021.314.316.3
IND14.816.114.318.715.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim James1010-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-1-118.616.12.5216.515.70.80
Jamaal Magloire2426-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-41-514.916.8-1.8614.616.2-1.65
Lee Nailon2223-0.17-0.330.15-0.03-52-715.516.6-1.0114.716.1-1.37
Hersey Hawkins2524-0.25-0.250.00-0.10-52-716.116.4-0.2815.715.8-0.05
P.J. Brown7875-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.382-5716.615.51.0116.114.71.37
Baron Davis8988-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.350-3316.515.11.3915.915.00.88
Elden Campbell7672-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.401-4516.814.91.8616.214.61.65
Jamal Mashburn9088-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.34-1-2116.118.6-2.5215.716.5-0.80
David Wesley8684-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.37-1-2116.216.9-0.7015.716.3-0.58

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Foster22220.82-0.321.130.4911-81914.216.2-2.0719.515.44.12
Jalen Rose84850.480.020.460.4803-315.716.6-0.9216.714.32.43
Reggie Miller79800.400.100.300.3712-115.517.2-1.7016.017.8-1.84
Derrick McKey25260.400.100.300.3712-116.515.50.9314.317.0-2.73
Jermaine O'Neal68700.230.27-0.030.47-811-1916.314.61.6616.615.61.00
Al Harrington60590.210.29-0.070.075-2715.715.9-0.1417.614.53.12
Travis Best73810.210.29-0.09-0.038-51316.314.41.8617.013.33.72
Jonathan Bender66-0.030.53-0.56-0.0303-317.815.72.1810.716.7-6.02
Terry Mills1313-0.030.53-0.560.03-25-715.215.9-0.6413.516.7-3.21
Sam Perkins1514-0.040.54-0.58-0.164-1515.915.80.1714.216.7-2.46
Austin Croshere4544-0.150.65-0.80-0.00-58-1315.416.1-0.7514.717.6-2.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.86,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.98,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 90, MEM 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.99,192.1%
DET 96, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.98,190.7%
GSW 106, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.73,0.5,0.75,0.89,0.84,0.92,190.1%