inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 96 Excitement10.6 [41] MVPLuke Kennard (DET): +11.9%
Houston Rockets 100 Comeback6.3 [374] LVPBlake Griffin (DET): -59.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Kennard0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.020.10-0.001158%0.182-0.062100%0.06
Stanley Johnson0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.01462%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.050.001347%0.073-0.081050%-0.06
James Ennis III-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00633%-0.0300.00333%-0.03
Anthony Tolliver-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.0600.0000%-0.04
Ish Smith-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.080.06-0.100.041464%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Reggie Bullock-0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.00-0.100.021060%-0.033-0.0900%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.220,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.13-0.080.011315%-0.2200.0000%0.00
Blake Griffin-0.590,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34,-0.42,-0.42,-0.5,-0.6,-0.59-0.06-0.500.032245%-0.344-0.26367%-0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.000.07-0.011141%0.0700.0000%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.01487%0.0600.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.001148%0.0300.001100%0.01
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00647%0.0200.00333%-0.04
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.050.031145%0.062-0.0800%0.00
Eric Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.011952%0.084-0.11475%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.01856%0.023-0.0920%-0.02
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00917%-0.1200.0000%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.26,-0.48,-0.41,-0.47,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.12-0.09-0.032036%-0.103-0.091872%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.51.726.615.627.00.827.22.611.6136.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +25.9%
HOU +24.8%
DET -17.7%
HOU +23.5%
DET -6.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETHOUNBADETHOUNBA
this game15.014.814.788.994.3107.5
season14.914.6106.4112.8
opponent14.814.7105.6106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET12.513.917.716.614.915.0
HOU14.713.816.614.713.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stanley Johnson27280.09-0.590.68-0.086-101615.614.70.8916.514.12.37
Reggie Bullock7673-0.07-0.430.36-0.339-132215.114.70.3516.012.04.04
Ish Smith6766-0.10-0.400.30-0.3910-142413.916.7-2.8115.413.71.73
Blake Griffin8482-0.14-0.360.21-0.357-111814.715.9-1.1715.412.52.97
James Ennis III4745-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.06-106-1614.015.7-1.6712.716.2-3.51
Reggie Jackson4139-0.40-0.10-0.300.04-1511-2616.713.92.8113.915.2-1.32
Anthony Tolliver4546-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-117-1814.615.3-0.7013.016.1-3.02
Andre Drummond8784-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.33-40-415.413.02.3815.013.71.35
Luke Kennard6667-0.670.17-0.84-0.32-128-2015.214.50.7213.916.3-2.46

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson62621.00-0.501.500.6213-92213.716.3-2.6314.815.2-0.33
Eric Gordon85850.76-0.261.010.3813-92214.216.8-2.5615.413.32.05
Gerald Green46470.52-0.020.530.0815-112613.315.9-2.5614.615.3-0.69
Ryan Anderson43430.440.060.380.0912-82013.015.9-2.8714.815.1-0.25
Trevor Ariza75780.340.160.190.40-26-815.313.51.7515.114.70.32
PJ Tucker70730.110.39-0.290.28-610-1615.812.73.1215.014.90.16
James Harden77790.090.41-0.320.32-812-2015.911.64.3615.014.90.04
Luc Mbah a Moute1616-0.130.63-0.760.04-610-1613.615.0-1.4012.115.5-3.40
Clint Capela5657-0.621.12-1.73-0.29-1115-2615.913.42.4915.514.41.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 96, IND 990.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.86,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.98,0.99,190.7%
MIA 90, MEM 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.99,190.5%
ATL 84, BOS 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.74,190.2%