NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	8.6 [139]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (BOS): +12.8%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	1.7 [634]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ATL): -32.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	16	61%	0.14	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	28	48%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	6	21%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.01	-0.14	-0.00	5	50%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33	-0.11	-0.23	-0.01	14	40%	-0.19	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	12	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	55%	0.19	4	-0.19	14	100%	0.09
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.07	0.02	18	53%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.29	-0.29	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	22	35%	-0.16	6	-0.13	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	33.1	17.8	26.2	3.6	37.0	2.5	18.2	166.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.1%

BOS +10.6%

BOS +4.1%

BOS +3.6%

ATL -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	17.1	14.7	15.6	84.8	89.1	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		102.5	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.9		97.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	14.9	19.1	18.5	17.0	15.8	17.1
BOS	13.9	13.6	15.8	16.5	12.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	38	37	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.19	-2	-4	2	16.4	17.6	-1.25	16.2	13.8	2.33
Ivan Johnson	22	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-6	6	18.5	16.7	1.81	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Kirk Hinrich	52	51	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-6	6	16.6	17.7	-1.15	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Marvin Williams	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	4	-14	17.9	16.6	1.31	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Erick Dampier	42	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.10	-2	-4	2	17.8	16.6	1.16	14.8	14.6	0.19
Willie Green	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-9	12	17.2	17.1	0.11	16.8	13.9	2.86
Vladimir Radmanovic	5	9	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-9	12	9.8	17.5	-7.73	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Tracy McGrady	73	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-4	2	17.3	16.8	0.50	15.1	13.4	1.71
Jannero Pargo	20	22	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	5	-16	18.1	16.9	1.26	14.9	14.6	0.23
Jeff Teague	89	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	16.9	19.1	-2.18	14.3	18.3	-4.01
Joe Johnson	87	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	-1	-4	17.0	17.8	-0.79	14.3	17.5	-3.11

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	80	79	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-5	16	14.7	14.5	0.20	17.2	16.7	0.49
Ray Allen	68	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-3	12	14.9	14.2	0.79	17.8	15.9	1.89
Mickael Pietrus	46	44	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-3	12	15.6	13.9	1.74	17.5	16.9	0.56
Rajon Rondo	96	92	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	2	2	14.4	20.8	-6.44	16.7	22.4	-5.69
Paul Pierce	93	90	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	3	0	14.2	20.2	-6.05	16.9	19.9	-3.02
Keyon Dooling	5	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	20.8	14.4	6.44	22.4	16.7	5.69
Avery Bradley	49	49	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	7	-8	13.7	15.6	-1.96	16.8	17.4	-0.60
Ryan Hollins	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	21.2	14.3	6.89	20.0	17.0	3.04
Brandon Bass	52	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	8	-10	14.1	15.3	-1.29	16.4	18.0	-1.59
Greg Stiemsma	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	17.0	14.4	2.57	17.0	17.2	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.9,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	90.2%
WAS 111, MEM 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.83,0.68,0.63,0.91,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.84,0.85,0.74,1	89.9%
MIA 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	89.7%