NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	115		Excitement	10.4 [79]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +31.0%
Detroit Pistons	120		Comeback	6.1 [260]		LVP	Reggie Bullock (DET): -26.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.17	0.12	-0.02	14	77%	0.33	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Jonathan Isaac	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	7	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Khem Birch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Briscoe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Aaron Gordon	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	0.03	-0.12	-0.01	15	56%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.05
Nikola Vucevic	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.1,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.2	0.05	-0.24	0.00	22	53%	-0.14	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.13	0.00	10	67%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.08,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	18	65%	0.19	2	-0.04	10	70%	0.06
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	62%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.12	-0.01	15	47%	0.18	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	7	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	0.03	-0.14	0.02	12	52%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	0.01	-0.28	-0.00	12	54%	-0.12	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	27.4	15.4	25.0	1.7	30.2	2.5	14.0	140.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +6.0%

DET +34.0%

DET +28.4%

ORL -15.9%

ORL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	16.6	14.3	116.2	121.2	109.3
season	14.9	15.3		107.2	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	13.3	17.0	15.8	16.6	14.8	15.5
DET	17.3	13.6	15.5	21.3	14.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	63	60	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.23	1	-6	7	15.6	15.4	0.16	16.4	16.8	-0.40
Wes Iwundu	34	31	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.11	0	-5	5	15.0	15.8	-0.88	15.3	17.2	-1.87
Khem Birch	28	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-1	-3	15.9	15.4	0.43	14.9	17.3	-2.45
Nikola Vucevic	71	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.9	-0.43	17.3	14.9	2.45
Isaiah Briscoe	39	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	1	-7	15.7	15.4	0.28	15.3	17.4	-2.05
Aaron Gordon	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	15.3	16.2	-0.94	17.1	15.4	1.69
D.J. Augustin	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-6	7	15.5	15.6	-0.18	17.4	15.3	2.05
Evan Fournier	71	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	4	-13	15.7	15.1	0.56	17.4	14.3	3.02
Terrence Ross	61	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.60	-4	-1	-3	15.9	15.0	0.93	15.9	17.8	-1.89

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	42	41	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.44	11	-6	17	16.4	16.7	-0.38	14.8	16.1	-1.35
Zaza Pachulia	28	29	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-11	27	13.6	17.8	-4.19	16.7	15.1	1.62
Reggie Bullock	70	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	1	3	17.3	14.8	2.47	15.4	15.8	-0.38
Blake Griffin	74	75	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	5	-5	17.1	15.2	1.89	15.1	16.8	-1.70
Ish Smith	41	42	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	-1	7	16.1	16.9	-0.82	15.7	15.4	0.29
Reggie Jackson	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	6	-7	16.9	16.1	0.82	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Stanley Johnson	25	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	0	5	15.2	17.1	-1.89	16.8	15.1	1.70
Andre Drummond	71	70	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.41	-12	17	-29	17.8	13.6	4.19	15.1	16.7	-1.62
Luke Kennard	47	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.13	2	3	-1	16.3	16.8	-0.57	16.3	14.9	1.38
Langston Galloway	39	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	11	-17	15.9	17.0	-1.16	15.7	15.4	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.72,0.47,0.27,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.75,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.76,0.72,0.34,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.95,1	91.2%
MIA 90, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.99,1	90.4%
HOU 99, NOH 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.85,0.99,1	89.9%