NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	86		Excitement	8.7 [156]		MVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): +13.9%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	6.6 [155]		LVP	Baron Davis (NOH): -26.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	7	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	11	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Jamaal Magloire	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	6	36%	-0.16	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Jamal Mashburn	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	23	43%	-0.04	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.15	-0.11	0.02	15	31%	-0.19	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.11	0.01	16	59%	0.23	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.08
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	11	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	10	70%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	8	61%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	4	40%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	22	43%	0.07	5	-0.25	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	9	35%	-0.11	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.3	16.6	24.6	1.8	32.5	1.4	12.1	143.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.1%

NYK +31.1%

NYK +45.0%

NOH -38.9%

NYK +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NYK	NBA	NOH	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.5	87.8	92.9	101.6
season	15.9	15.6		101.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		104.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	16.0	13.6	17.6	16.3	17.3	15.9
NYK	15.3	14.1	18.4	18.8	16.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	66	67	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.10	5	-11	16	16.0	15.7	0.33	16.0	17.3	-1.39
George Lynch	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-7	8	15.7	15.9	-0.25	17.5	16.1	1.42
Stacey Augmon	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-3	0	15.3	16.1	-0.72	14.4	17.1	-2.68
Elden Campbell	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-5	4	15.2	16.2	-0.93	17.9	15.7	2.27
Courtney Alexander	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-7	8	15.9	15.8	0.14	17.7	15.0	2.63
Jamaal Magloire	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-3	0	16.4	14.9	1.46	15.9	17.4	-1.48
P.J. Brown	72	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	16.1	15.3	0.78	15.9	17.9	-2.06
David Wesley	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	7	-20	15.3	16.8	-1.54	16.0	17.1	-1.08
Jamal Mashburn	87	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.9	15.6	0.27	16.9	12.2	4.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	34	34	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.26	14	-8	22	18.1	15.5	2.65	16.6	15.5	1.09
Howard Eisley	87	87	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-8	22	16.6	15.3	1.22	16.4	12.1	4.27
Othella Harrington	72	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-3	12	16.8	15.2	1.63	16.9	13.3	3.63
Kurt Thomas	42	43	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.56	0	6	-6	15.1	17.4	-2.31	16.3	15.5	0.80
Latrell Sprewell	81	80	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	4	-2	15.8	19.1	-3.24	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Allan Houston	76	74	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	8	-10	16.0	17.7	-1.63	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Michael Doleac	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	3	0	16.4	16.4	-0.01	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Clar. Weatherspoon	53	52	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.22	-2	8	-10	17.2	15.5	1.65	14.9	17.0	-2.07
Lee Nailon	20	20	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.05	-8	14	-22	15.8	16.6	-0.76	12.5	16.7	-4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.76,0.72,0.34,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 115, DET 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.76,0.72,0.47,0.27,0.5,0.62,0.52,0.75,0.73,1	91.2%
CLE 108, NOP 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.81,0.85,0.55,0.27,0.54,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.98,1	90.6%
HOU 99, NOH 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.85,0.99,1	89.6%