NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	9.4 [86]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +38.3%
Denver Nuggets	110		Comeback	5.8 [227]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -24.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25	0.01	0.24	-0.00	13	70%	0.38	5	-0.13	7	57%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	16	64%	0.25	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	62%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	19	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Ferguson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eddie Gill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.05	-0.17	0.03	17	42%	-0.22	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.25,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.38	0.38	0.02	0.37	0.00	24	55%	0.44	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.04
Nene	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.16	-0.02	15	56%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	10	70%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	11	50%	-0.00	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	6	37%	-0.11	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	26.3	15.8	24.2	2.4	37.4	2.5	18.2	152.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +9.8%

DEN +6.6%

DEN +19.2%

DEN +16.1%

POR -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.4	15.7	102.0	112.2	100.5
season	17.1	14.9		101.5	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	18.8	14.7	17.6	20.2	11.9	17.0
DEN	14.0	19.6	15.1	15.8	11.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Ferguson	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-10	10	11.8	17.3	-5.51	20.6	15.1	5.46
Eddie Gill	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-8	6	17.1	17.0	0.12	20.7	14.5	6.28
Damon Stoudamire	83	83	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-4	-2	17.3	15.8	1.45	14.5	20.7	-6.28
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	16	17	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	18.6	16.7	1.91	21.1	14.2	6.90
Dale Davis	18	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-1	-8	17.8	16.8	0.98	19.5	14.4	5.03
Derek Anderson	86	87	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-5	0	17.0	17.1	-0.06	14.8	20.1	-5.26
Theo Ratliff	80	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-9	8	16.8	17.8	-0.98	14.4	19.5	-5.03
Zach Randolph	82	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-5	0	16.7	18.6	-1.91	14.2	21.1	-6.90
Darius Miles	75	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-5	0	16.8	17.8	-1.04	14.8	17.4	-2.63
Ruben Patterson	30	29	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.37	-12	2	-14	17.9	16.7	1.20	17.9	14.4	3.52

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	60	61	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-7	24	15.7	15.0	0.64	17.4	16.5	0.87
Nene	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-1	12	15.4	15.7	-0.33	16.9	17.6	-0.75
Carmelo Anthony	82	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	3	4	14.7	18.9	-4.21	16.8	17.9	-1.12
Jon Barry	27	27	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.08	10	0	10	17.6	14.6	3.00	18.4	16.5	1.95
Marcus Camby	79	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	8	-6	14.5	19.4	-4.97	17.0	17.2	-0.20
Chris Andersen	26	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	3	4	17.7	14.6	3.15	17.7	16.8	0.88
Andre Miller	71	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	10	-10	14.6	17.6	-3.00	16.4	18.6	-2.21
Rodney White	16	18	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	18.9	14.7	4.21	17.9	16.8	1.12
Michael Doleac	12	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	10	-10	17.2	15.2	1.99	16.8	17.1	-0.21
Voshon Lenard	38	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	17	-24	15.0	15.7	-0.64	16.7	17.3	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.89,0.84,1	90.5%
NOH 93, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1	90.3%
NYK 89, BKN 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.3,0.22,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.71,0.53,0.81,0.63,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	90.2%