inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 93 Excitement11.6 [26] MVPJunior Harrington (NOH): +50.6%
Charlotte Bobcats 94 Comeback6.1 [289] LVPGeorge Lynch (NOH): -27.8%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Junior Harrington0.510,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.510.090.420.011373%0.662-0.15450%-0.05
Matt Freije-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.03-0.01862%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Corsley Edwards-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.050.01-0.040.021657%0.012-0.06887%0.01
Dan Dickau-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00633%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.00633%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.120.07-0.170.031263%-0.1200.003100%0.05
J.R. Smith-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.06-0.0050%-0.121-0.0400%0.00
George Lynch-0.280,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.11-0.18-0.00952%-0.035-0.257100%0.07

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.350.35-0.010.36-0.00945%0.3500.00250%-0.01
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.090.090.030.090.041167%0.192-0.10875%0.14
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.04-0.00956%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.00743%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Sampson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.011549%0.041-0.09560%-0.02
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.00850%-0.011-0.04250%-0.02
Theron Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.01425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.00750%0.012-0.082100%0.02
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.08-0.110.00417%-0.1900.00450%0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.13-0.13-0.031337%-0.183-0.05475%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.61.829.80.828.22.737.51.619.0145.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH -22.4%
CHA +31.6%
CHA +22.2%
CHA +18.9%
NOH -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHCHANBANOHCHANBA
this game16.616.915.598.997.9104.0
season16.515.597.799.0
opponent15.115.7105.4105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOH13.814.517.819.022.416.6
CHA17.514.918.217.017.916.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Corsley Edwards880.11-0.610.73-0.066-71315.216.7-1.4511.517.4-5.89
Chris Andersen39410.03-0.530.560.09-21-317.915.72.2219.714.84.91
Matt Freije5758-0.18-0.320.140.08-98-1715.418.4-2.9316.817.0-0.17
Dan Dickau3840-0.21-0.290.08-0.04-65-1115.817.1-1.2716.417.2-0.85
Junior Harrington6262-0.23-0.270.04-0.416-71317.315.22.0116.517.7-1.21
P.J. Brown8385-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.435-61116.517.1-0.5816.916.9-0.01
David Wesley7778-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.434-5916.915.21.7116.817.2-0.33
George Lynch8889-0.530.03-0.57-0.48-21-316.911.75.2416.817.6-0.73
J.R. Smith1819-0.890.39-1.28-0.69-76-1314.617.0-2.4316.317.1-0.79

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Wallace75720.58-0.080.660.435-4916.916.80.1716.915.41.52
Jason Hart52490.54-0.040.570.56-12-317.715.91.7817.315.81.53
Emeka Okafor69680.490.010.470.4610116.019.2-3.2417.115.31.75
Keith Bogans50500.470.030.440.65-67-1317.116.60.5117.116.01.17
Theron Smith16150.190.31-0.120.34-56-1112.517.8-5.2817.016.50.51
Kareem Rush23230.180.32-0.14-0.058-71514.617.6-3.0115.516.9-1.45
Jason Kapono24250.110.39-0.270.23-45-919.915.94.0316.816.50.31
Primoz Brezec44460.070.43-0.35-0.044-3716.916.9-0.0215.217.9-2.74
Jamal Sampson13110.050.45-0.41-0.012-1320.116.43.6814.616.8-2.19
Steven Smith30290.010.49-0.48-0.0210116.117.2-1.1116.616.60.02
Brevin Knight4647-0.080.58-0.65-0.05-12-315.718.0-2.2215.917.3-1.36
Melvin Ely3835-0.110.61-0.71-0.1310119.315.33.9616.816.40.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 107, NYK 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.77,0.98,191.1%
POR 87, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,190.5%
GSW 89, MIL 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,190.5%