NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	11.6 [26]		MVP	Junior Harrington (NOH): +50.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	94		Comeback	6.1 [289]		LVP	George Lynch (NOH): -27.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Junior Harrington	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.51	0.09	0.42	0.01	13	73%	0.66	2	-0.15	4	50%	-0.05
Matt Freije	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corsley Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	16	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.07	-0.17	0.03	12	63%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
J.R. Smith	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	9	52%	-0.03	5	-0.25	7	100%	0.07

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.35	0.35	-0.01	0.36	-0.00	9	45%	0.35	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.09	0.04	11	67%	0.19	2	-0.10	8	75%	0.14
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	49%	0.04	1	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	4	17%	-0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	13	37%	-0.18	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	29.8	0.8	28.2	2.7	37.5	1.6	19.0	145.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -22.4%

CHA +31.6%

CHA +22.2%

CHA +18.9%

NOH -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHA	NBA	NOH	CHA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.9	15.5	98.9	97.9	104.0
season	16.5	15.5		97.7	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		105.4	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	13.8	14.5	17.8	19.0	22.4	16.6
CHA	17.5	14.9	18.2	17.0	17.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corsley Edwards	8	8	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.06	6	-7	13	15.2	16.7	-1.45	11.5	17.4	-5.89
Chris Andersen	39	41	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	1	-3	17.9	15.7	2.22	19.7	14.8	4.91
Matt Freije	57	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	8	-17	15.4	18.4	-2.93	16.8	17.0	-0.17
Dan Dickau	38	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	5	-11	15.8	17.1	-1.27	16.4	17.2	-0.85
Junior Harrington	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-7	13	17.3	15.2	2.01	16.5	17.7	-1.21
P.J. Brown	83	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-6	11	16.5	17.1	-0.58	16.9	16.9	-0.01
David Wesley	77	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-5	9	16.9	15.2	1.71	16.8	17.2	-0.33
George Lynch	88	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.48	-2	1	-3	16.9	11.7	5.24	16.8	17.6	-0.73
J.R. Smith	18	19	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.69	-7	6	-13	14.6	17.0	-2.43	16.3	17.1	-0.79

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	75	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-4	9	16.9	16.8	0.17	16.9	15.4	1.52
Jason Hart	52	49	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.56	-1	2	-3	17.7	15.9	1.78	17.3	15.8	1.53
Emeka Okafor	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.46	1	0	1	16.0	19.2	-3.24	17.1	15.3	1.75
Keith Bogans	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.65	-6	7	-13	17.1	16.6	0.51	17.1	16.0	1.17
Theron Smith	16	15	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	6	-11	12.5	17.8	-5.28	17.0	16.5	0.51
Kareem Rush	23	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	-7	15	14.6	17.6	-3.01	15.5	16.9	-1.45
Jason Kapono	24	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	5	-9	19.9	15.9	4.03	16.8	16.5	0.31
Primoz Brezec	44	46	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	-3	7	16.9	16.9	-0.02	15.2	17.9	-2.74
Jamal Sampson	13	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	-1	3	20.1	16.4	3.68	14.6	16.8	-2.19
Steven Smith	30	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	0	1	16.1	17.2	-1.11	16.6	16.6	0.02
Brevin Knight	46	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	2	-3	15.7	18.0	-2.22	15.9	17.3	-1.36
Melvin Ely	38	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.13	1	0	1	19.3	15.3	3.96	16.8	16.4	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.77,0.98,1	91.1%
POR 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,1	90.5%
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	90.5%