NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	11.7 [22]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +22.9%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	2.5 [700]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (POR): -36.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.27,0.2	0.03	0.16	-0.00	14	54%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05	-0.14	0.18	-0.01	9	41%	0.22	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	14	41%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.2,-0.03,-0.09,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	0.01	22	45%	0.07	4	-0.31	7	71%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.33	0.02	-0.33	0.01	9	76%	-0.10	4	-0.23	7	71%	-0.10
Theo Ratliff	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37	-0.10	-0.26	0.01	3	44%	-0.16	4	-0.21	3	67%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.19	-0.01	12	59%	0.31	1	-0.08	5	100%	0.08
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	11	54%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	14	50%	0.07	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.10
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	5	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	7	63%	0.08	4	-0.27	5	80%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.07	-0.21	0.00	8	54%	-0.04	3	-0.25	10	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.8	3.4	29.5	17.7	28.2	3.4	40.6	1.8	18.3	171.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +8.5%

UTA +49.5%

POR -12.4%

UTA +1.1%

UTA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.5	86.1	91.1	104.0
season	15.8	16.7		101.2	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.7	15.9	18.0	17.3	18.0	16.5
UTA	13.5	16.9	16.3	14.8	12.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	82	82	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.09	14	-19	33	16.0	18.6	-2.61	15.8	11.4	4.44
Travis Outlaw	10	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	3	-11	17.0	16.5	0.54	12.9	15.2	-2.30
Sebastian Telfair	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	0	-5	17.9	15.7	2.30	15.8	14.5	1.27
Theo Ratliff	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-7	9	16.8	16.0	0.81	15.7	13.8	1.91
Damon Stoudamire	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-5	5	15.7	17.9	-2.30	14.5	15.8	-1.27
Joel Przybilla	31	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	3	-11	15.6	16.9	-1.25	14.2	15.3	-1.07
Zach Randolph	79	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-3	1	16.1	17.9	-1.72	14.3	17.9	-3.60
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	90	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	16.6	15.8	0.78	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Ruben Patterson	51	48	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.28	-12	7	-19	17.8	15.2	2.56	14.8	15.2	-0.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	57	57	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	3	-1	13.7	16.6	-2.83	16.7	16.3	0.35
Matt Harpring	88	88	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	15.6	10.7	4.91	16.7	15.4	1.30
Raul Lopez	25	25	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	-6	17	13.2	15.6	-2.41	18.3	15.9	2.40
Carlos Boozer	80	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	8	-11	15.0	14.8	0.26	16.1	18.0	-1.94
Raja Bell	32	34	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	3	-1	13.1	15.8	-2.75	14.9	17.3	-2.42
Carlos Arroyo	63	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	8	-11	14.8	15.3	-0.55	16.4	16.7	-0.27
Jarron Collins	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	-2	9	16.1	14.4	1.73	15.9	16.8	-0.85
Gordan Giricek	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	1	3	14.4	15.1	-0.74	18.7	16.0	2.67
Kirk Snyder	50	48	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	6	-7	16.4	13.6	2.83	16.8	16.3	0.53
Kris Humphries	44	45	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	3	-1	14.3	15.5	-1.16	17.1	16.0	1.12
Howard Eisley	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	8	-11	19.5	14.3	5.15	13.5	17.0	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1	90.5%
DET 97, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.83,1	89.9%
HOU 95, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.91,1	89.9%