NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	11.0 [27]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +40.8%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	2.7 [712]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -31.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DaJuan Summers	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	2	125%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	15	50%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.05	0.06	-0.10	0.01	20	57%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.05
Rodney Stuckey	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	18	45%	-0.00	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Will Bynum	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	11	50%	-0.00	4	-0.16	10	80%	0.08

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.03	0.34	-0.04	11	69%	0.53	5	-0.12	10	100%	0.15
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.3,0.21,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.37	0.37	0.04	0.34	0.00	16	54%	0.56	2	-0.19	9	78%	0.04
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.06
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	6	33%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.32	-0.32	-0.07	-0.21	0.03	12	45%	-0.10	4	-0.21	7	43%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	0.8	29.0	15.8	25.2	2.6	33.0	2.5	16.9	155.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.8%

UTA +13.3%

UTA +7.0%

DET -8.0%

DET -9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.0	15.3	99.0	103.1	106.0
season	16.8	15.3		104.0	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	16.6	16.5	17.5	16.2	16.1	16.6
UTA	14.0	17.8	15.3	17.2	15.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-5	7	17.7	16.6	1.06	18.7	15.9	2.78
Charlie Villanueva	66	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-4	5	17.1	15.7	1.37	16.6	14.8	1.74
Jonas Jerebko	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	5	-13	17.7	16.1	1.63	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Chris Wilcox	13	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	0	-3	13.5	17.1	-3.67	14.9	16.1	-1.21
DaJuan Summers	25	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-5	7	16.5	16.7	-0.22	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Ben Wallace	78	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-5	7	17.3	14.2	3.07	16.5	14.1	2.35
Rodney Stuckey	85	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-7	11	16.7	16.5	0.12	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Jason Maxiell	36	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	4	-11	15.7	17.2	-1.46	14.8	16.7	-1.89
Ben Gordon	87	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-2	1	16.8	15.2	1.65	16.2	14.5	1.61
Will Bynum	63	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.44	-7	4	-11	15.7	18.3	-2.51	15.7	16.5	-0.81

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	88	88	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.50	8	-5	13	16.1	14.7	1.44	16.3	19.9	-3.63
Paul Millsap	65	65	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.43	8	-5	13	15.8	16.4	-0.61	16.0	18.0	-2.05
Deron Williams	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.43	6	-3	9	16.1	15.2	0.89	17.3	13.7	3.58
Andrei Kirilenko	68	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	8	-13	16.2	15.5	0.69	16.2	17.6	-1.40
Carlos Boozer	75	77	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	7	-11	15.7	16.7	-0.98	16.9	15.6	1.36
Eric Maynor	29	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	1	1	15.2	16.3	-1.09	14.5	17.6	-3.09
Kyrylo Fesenko	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	0	3	16.0	15.9	0.10	19.2	15.9	3.33
Kosta Koufos	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	18.6	15.7	2.93	14.6	16.9	-2.28
Wesley Matthews	48	48	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	7	-11	15.7	16.3	-0.60	17.9	15.5	2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 112, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.83,1	90.6%
POR 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,1	89.9%
HOU 95, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.91,1	89.8%