NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	112		Excitement	10.9 [42]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +59.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	117		Comeback	3.8 [480]		LVP	Junior Harrington (MEM): -14.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.59	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.59	0.13	0.45	-0.02	19	60%	0.60	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.11
Hakim Warrick	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	11	63%	0.19	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.04
Tarence Kinsey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	0.16	-0.16	0.03	20	69%	0.18	3	-0.20	5	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	18	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Damon Stoudamire	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.13	6	-0.23	2	50%	-0.10
Junior Harrington	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.21	0.30	0.00	13	79%	0.60	1	-0.09	8	100%	0.10
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.12	0.04	17	64%	0.25	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	0.02	7	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.12,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	15	60%	0.12	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	14	53%	0.07	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	32.0	15.4	28.6	1.7	38.1	1.8	9.9	151.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.2%

MEM -0.3%

PHI +33.5%

MEM -5.8%

PHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.8	15.4	112.0	113.6	104.5
season	15.1	15.5		105.1	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	16.2	16.6	16.7	18.0	13.7	16.6
PHI	13.8	15.4	14.0	16.2	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	50	53	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-15	25	16.0	17.1	-1.08	15.1	14.5	0.58
Tarence Kinsey	37	38	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.12	-3	-2	-1	17.0	16.3	0.74	14.6	14.9	-0.34
Junior Harrington	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-7	9	15.3	17.0	-1.68	14.9	14.8	0.17
Scott Padgett	17	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-4	3	14.5	17.0	-2.45	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Rudy Gay	81	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	16.7	15.9	0.76	15.1	13.5	1.56
Pau Gasol	83	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	17.0	14.5	2.45	14.9	14.4	0.53
Damon Stoudamire	73	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	2	-9	17.0	15.3	1.68	14.8	14.9	-0.17
Mike Miller	83	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	1	-7	16.3	18.0	-1.73	14.4	16.5	-2.06
Lawrence Roberts	49	49	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	8	-21	17.0	16.1	0.90	14.8	14.8	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	55	54	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-5	15	15.3	14.3	0.98	16.3	16.8	-0.53
Joe Smith	69	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-3	11	15.3	13.8	1.45	16.6	16.4	0.25
Andre Iguodala	97	95	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	14.8	14.8	-0.04	16.4	20.4	-4.04
Kyle Korver	65	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.39	5	0	5	15.1	14.3	0.72	16.8	16.1	0.72
Andre Miller	87	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	3	-1	14.4	17.1	-2.76	16.4	17.2	-0.75
Lou Williams	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	2	1	17.1	14.4	2.76	17.2	16.4	0.75
Willie Green	63	62	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.06	-5	10	-15	14.1	15.9	-1.85	16.7	16.4	0.27
Steven Hunter	63	59	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	12	-19	14.3	15.5	-1.23	16.6	16.5	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.83,1	90.6%
DAL 106, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.84,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.98,1	89.8%
WAS 110, IND 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.95,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.94,0.98,1	89.8%