NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	12.6 [12]		MVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): +34.3%
Indiana Pacers	119		Comeback	2.9 [325]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -31.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.31,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22	-0.01	0.18	-0.04	25	49%	0.35	5	-0.13	19	68%	-0.07
Antawn Jamison	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.11	0.02	25	46%	0.16	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.01
Nick Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Andray Blatche	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.39,-0.41,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.20	-0.11	0.01	17	42%	0.07	8	-0.39	11	64%	-0.23

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.04	0.29	-0.02	15	53%	0.36	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.00	5	87%	0.23	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.05
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	17	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.10	0.02	17	56%	0.19	5	-0.13	2	50%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Sims	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.9	2.4	27.6	16.4	30.2	2.3	38.1	1.6	16.5	163.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.1%

IND +15.4%

WAS -16.4%

IND +24.1%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	13.7	15.4	99.1	105.3	105.7
season	16.1	13.8		106.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	15.0	14.4	14.7	13.8	17.1	14.7
IND	11.2	15.0	15.3	15.0	10.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	14	15	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.30	1	-10	11	14.4	14.8	-0.43	14.1	13.6	0.53
Darius Songaila	45	47	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.19	-1	-8	7	15.1	14.5	0.57	13.6	13.8	-0.20
DeShawn Stevenson	41	41	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-15	21	13.6	15.4	-1.81	13.4	13.8	-0.44
Dominic McGuire	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-5	1	8.6	15.0	-6.42	14.8	13.6	1.18
Andray Blatche	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	15.3	14.5	0.79	13.6	13.7	-0.16
Nick Young	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	0	-9	17.0	14.4	2.62	11.7	14.0	-2.24
Antawn Jamison	93	96	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	14.1	17.9	-3.77	13.7	13.6	0.03
Caron Butler	99	100	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.30	-5	-4	-1	15.1	11.7	3.43	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Gilbert Arenas	93	95	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	1	-11	14.4	16.4	-2.05	13.6	13.9	-0.26
Brendan Haywood	62	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	-1	-7	15.0	14.3	0.69	13.9	13.4	0.55
Antonio Daniels	59	60	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.62	-6	-3	-3	15.6	13.8	1.77	14.3	13.0	1.34

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	66	62	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.09	28	-19	47	14.2	13.0	1.15	15.3	14.0	1.23
Mike Dunleavy	96	96	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	0	9	13.6	13.8	-0.18	15.0	13.3	1.69
Marquis Daniels	45	43	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	1	7	13.1	14.1	-1.01	13.7	15.4	-1.76
Jamaal Tinsley	81	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	3	3	13.3	14.7	-1.42	14.7	14.7	0.03
Danny Granger	80	77	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	7	-5	13.3	14.7	-1.40	15.0	14.1	0.97
Andre Owens	21	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	4	1	16.0	13.2	2.80	12.8	15.2	-2.35
Kareem Rush	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	7	-5	14.3	13.5	0.79	15.8	14.5	1.32
Travis Diener	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	6	-3	14.7	13.3	1.42	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Courtney Sims	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	4	1	12.1	14.0	-1.95	12.4	15.2	-2.73
Jeff Foster	58	61	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	20	-31	13.4	14.0	-0.60	15.6	13.7	1.95
Ike Diogu	49	49	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.22	-12	21	-33	14.1	13.4	0.69	14.2	15.1	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.95,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 114, NJN 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.69,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.97,0.99,1	89.9%
MEM 112, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.83,1	89.8%
DAL 106, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.84,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.98,1	89.8%