NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	107		Excitement	10.7 [47]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +55.7%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	3.7 [232]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -28.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	7	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	9	56%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.07	-0.08	-0.01	17	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
George Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	16	58%	0.30	7	-0.38	13	77%	-0.01
Tony Parker	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28	-0.16	-0.12	0.00	20	32%	-0.20	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.34,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.56,0.56	0.56	0.18	0.36	-0.02	23	65%	0.58	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	81%	0.24	3	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	38%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	57%	0.16	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	13	46%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.10
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	9	40%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	4	-0.12	8	62%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.8	16.8	28.4	2.7	30.1	2.5	16.4	152.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.8%

SAS -11.8%

NYK +11.7%

NYK +5.1%

NYK +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	13.5	15.5	101.9	107.7	106.4
season	16.4	13.8		106.6	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	17.4	17.2	15.8	18.1	15.0	16.9
NYK	11.9	14.1	14.2	14.6	12.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	59	58	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.15	1	-6	7	16.3	17.6	-1.29	15.3	11.3	3.95
Kurt Thomas	33	30	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-9	13	16.0	17.3	-1.34	15.0	12.9	2.02
Ime Udoka	2	1	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-5	5	11.5	17.0	-5.49	16.0	13.5	2.50
Fabricio Oberto	10	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-2	-1	17.0	16.9	0.13	13.5	13.5	-0.08
George Hill	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-3	1	16.6	17.0	-0.40	15.2	12.8	2.38
Tony Parker	86	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-3	1	17.1	16.1	0.95	12.9	16.5	-3.59
Tim Duncan	77	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-4	3	17.5	15.1	2.47	13.2	14.6	-1.39
Roger Mason Jr.	90	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	2	-9	16.8	17.3	-0.44	13.5	13.5	-0.01
Matt Bonner	70	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.39	-8	3	-11	16.3	18.0	-1.71	12.5	15.8	-3.35
Michael Finley	64	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.48	-7	2	-9	17.9	15.4	2.49	12.9	14.6	-1.74

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	74	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	14.0	12.3	1.77	16.7	17.4	-0.67
Tim Thomas	56	54	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	0	5	14.1	12.8	1.33	15.7	18.1	-2.40
Al Harrington	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	1	3	12.9	14.7	-1.74	16.9	16.8	0.16
Wilson Chandler	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	3	-1	13.1	14.5	-1.40	17.2	16.3	0.86
Quentin Richardson	41	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	2	1	15.0	12.6	2.39	16.7	17.0	-0.22
David Lee	56	59	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	4	-3	12.8	14.4	-1.57	18.3	15.1	3.12
Danilo Gallinari	19	20	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	6	-7	14.5	13.3	1.22	16.2	17.0	-0.79
Chris Duhon	79	81	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	2	1	13.8	12.8	1.01	17.1	16.1	0.99
Jared Jeffries	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	6	-7	12.6	14.3	-1.65	16.7	17.0	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.98,1	91.8%
NOH 93, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1	91.1%
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	90.8%