inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 96 Excitement9.7 [80] MVPRashard Lewis (ORL): +43.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 101 Comeback3.1 [482] LVPTrevor Ariza (LAL): -17.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.430,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.430.220.20-0.022174%0.482-0.054100%0.05
Tony Battie0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.040.00340%0.041-0.04450%-0.05
Hedo Turkoglu-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.021758%0.265-0.29475%-0.01
Mickael Pietrus-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.011059%0.277-0.36978%0.06
Marcin Gortat-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.00433%-0.052-0.05450%-0.05
JJ Redick-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.00928%0.031-0.1400%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01822%-0.101-0.022100%0.01
Courtney Lee-0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.01-0.140.00333%-0.1500.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.410.410.130.300.021462%0.4100.001191%0.07
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.240.240.120.130.00986%0.292-0.05475%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.120.120.020.09-0.00960%0.182-0.072100%0.05
Luke Walton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shannon Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.000.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00545%-0.001-0.021100%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,0.01,0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.012254%0.197-0.281080%0.05
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.06-0.13-0.011331%-0.1800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.13.627.420.727.13.743.72.818.3177.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -7.8%
LAL +17.1%
ORL -10.1%
LAL +55.5%
ORL -4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLLALNBAORLLALNBA
this game16.614.815.594.1101.0106.4
season15.314.9107.3110.6
opponent15.415.8102.6101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL16.018.613.519.016.816.6
LAL15.315.714.714.413.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Courtney Lee22210.01-0.510.53-0.073-81116.016.8-0.8317.014.32.70
Jameer Nelson3334-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-4318.016.01.9613.815.3-1.55
Tony Battie109-0.09-0.410.320.06-50-517.916.51.3914.814.8-0.05
Marcin Gortat3231-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-1-317.716.21.4713.415.4-2.03
Mickael Pietrus4646-0.15-0.350.190.02-61-715.717.4-1.7314.115.5-1.40
Dwight Howard9088-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.331-6716.319.4-3.1414.914.40.46
Hedo Turkoglu9089-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.390-5516.418.3-1.9115.013.31.74
JJ Redick4948-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.33-2-3118.015.42.6015.214.50.71
Rafer Alston5249-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.33-50-515.617.7-2.1415.014.70.27
Rashard Lewis8685-0.540.04-0.58-0.36-61-716.815.90.8415.113.31.75

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom87880.58-0.080.660.2910-51514.517.0-2.5117.014.72.24
Derek Fisher78800.53-0.030.560.3850514.814.80.0015.819.8-4.04
Kobe Bryant91930.440.060.390.3823-114.814.80.0516.617.2-0.63
Trevor Ariza71740.400.100.290.3423-115.114.11.0615.619.4-3.78
Pau Gasol82830.310.190.120.3105-515.013.91.0715.919.8-3.93
Andrew Bynum31330.110.39-0.280.1105-515.214.60.5917.716.21.51
Luke Walton29280.110.39-0.280.0232114.115.1-1.0619.415.63.78
Sasha Vujacic990.050.45-0.40-0.0432114.814.8-0.0517.216.60.63
Shannon Brown1010-0.010.51-0.52-0.0105-514.214.9-0.6922.116.16.05
Jordan Farmar1212-0.020.52-0.54-0.0205-515.314.70.5817.916.51.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 107, NYK 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.77,0.98,191.8%
CHI 102, NJN 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.69,0.57,0.91,190.4%
POR 87, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,189.8%