NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	11.7 [20]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +38.1%
New Jersey Nets	110		Comeback	2.7 [354]		LVP	Joe Smith (CHI): -23.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.12	0.00	10	50%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	42%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.11,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	15	39%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.07
Joakim Noah	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	14	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Andres Nocioni	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.1,-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	9	61%	0.03	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	9	27%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Joe Smith	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	0.04	-0.26	0.01	12	63%	0.12	3	-0.36	3	100%	0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.13	0.27	0.02	21	65%	0.50	3	-0.12	9	78%	-0.09
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.12	0.02	15	63%	0.25	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.04
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Ager	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.02	18	61%	0.22	5	-0.33	5	80%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	29.7	16.8	30.5	2.5	37.2	1.8	23.0	170.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +68.1%

NJN +3.7%

CHI -37.5%

NJN +5.8%

NJN +9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.9	15.4	99.0	108.9	105.7
season	15.0	15.4		102.2	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.5		107.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	15.1	18.3	13.4	16.2	12.8	15.3
NJN	14.9	16.8	18.1	16.5	11.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	60	58	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.47	-5	-3	-2	15.3	15.3	-0.03	17.1	14.3	2.77
Ben Wallace	67	65	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.22	1	-9	10	14.9	16.0	-1.06	15.6	16.3	-0.63
Luol Deng	36	35	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-13	18	15.2	15.4	-0.22	17.0	15.3	1.77
Joakim Noah	25	24	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.19	-3	-5	2	15.4	15.3	0.07	17.4	15.4	1.97
Joe Smith	51	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-15	22	15.2	15.5	-0.30	15.2	16.5	-1.32
Aaron Gray	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-5	2	18.6	15.1	3.50	19.2	15.7	3.50
Tyrus Thomas	48	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.20	-15	7	-22	15.8	14.9	0.98	16.8	15.2	1.60
Kirk Hinrich	72	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-8	8	14.9	16.4	-1.49	15.3	17.1	-1.72
Chris Duhon	50	50	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	4	-16	15.5	15.1	0.45	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Andres Nocioni	39	42	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.67	-10	2	-12	15.3	15.3	-0.00	13.6	17.5	-3.81
Ben Gordon	60	61	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.84	-5	-3	-2	15.5	15.1	0.41	15.9	15.8	0.16

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	79	79	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.60	4	4	0	15.6	16.8	-1.15	15.4	14.9	0.57
Vince Carter	91	91	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-4	16	15.5	19.2	-3.69	14.9	18.6	-3.70
Trenton Hassell	44	40	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	4	0	16.4	15.5	0.95	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Marcus Williams	76	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	0	8	15.3	17.7	-2.46	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Richard Jefferson	84	87	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	15.5	17.7	-2.21	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Maurice Ager	1	1	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	1.0	16.0	-15.02	0.0	15.5	-15.46
Bostjan Nachbar	30	33	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.20	9	-1	10	17.7	15.1	2.60	16.2	14.9	1.33
Darrell Armstrong	26	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	6	-4	17.1	15.5	1.62	14.6	15.6	-0.92
Nenad Krstic	39	43	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.34	8	0	8	15.1	16.3	-1.21	16.7	14.3	2.38
DeSagana Diop	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	10	-12	19.5	15.4	4.12	14.5	15.4	-0.92
Sean Williams	23	24	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.05	-10	18	-28	16.8	15.6	1.18	15.2	15.3	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.69,0.57,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.98,1	90.4%
NOH 93, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,1	89.4%
SAS 107, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.77,0.98,1	88.6%