NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	9.4 [111]		MVP	Bob Sura (HOU): +49.3%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	2.8 [772]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -45.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.13	0.00	14	50%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jabari Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kaniel Dickens	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.06
Vince Carter	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.15	-0.07	19	39%	-0.19	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.2,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.12	-0.16	-0.04	20	39%	-0.15	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.24	0.27	0.01	16	87%	0.60	2	-0.11	8	87%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.2,0.2	0.20	-0.02	0.23	0.01	10	50%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	47%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	18	43%	-0.05	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.12	-0.18	-0.02	7	14%	-0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.21,-0.33,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.45,-0.45	-0.45	-0.20	-0.29	-0.03	9	27%	-0.27	5	-0.18	4	50%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	31.3	19.5	27.2	3.5	40.0	1.7	20.2	174.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.9%

HOU +2.5%

HOU +27.4%

NJN -32.3%

HOU +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.5	85.0	92.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.0		99.2	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	13.9	18.5	15.2	16.0	17.9	16.0
HOU	15.5	15.8	14.2	16.0	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	66	65	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.21	1	-10	11	15.4	17.1	-1.72	15.7	15.2	0.42
Nenad Krstic	76	76	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-12	15	15.7	16.8	-1.07	16.1	13.8	2.23
Kaniel Dickens	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-9	9	2.0	16.1	-14.12	1.0	15.7	-14.65
Jason Collins	80	83	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-13	17	15.4	18.2	-2.84	15.7	14.6	1.08
Jacque Vaughn	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	0	-9	17.9	15.6	2.30	14.2	15.7	-1.54
Vince Carter	80	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-14	19	16.0	16.0	-0.09	16.0	13.2	2.89
Jason Kidd	89	90	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-9	9	15.7	18.0	-2.27	15.7	14.0	1.71
Travis Best	41	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	8	-25	16.8	15.4	1.32	14.2	16.5	-2.25
Jabari Smith	36	36	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	5	-19	17.4	15.2	2.16	13.4	16.7	-3.32

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	91	89	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-3	15	15.7	14.1	1.59	15.8	17.2	-1.35
Bob Sura	83	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	3	3	15.3	16.5	-1.25	15.9	16.4	-0.48
Dikembe Mutombo	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-1	11	14.9	15.9	-0.95	17.1	15.3	1.76
Maurice Taylor	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	-2	13	15.2	15.8	-0.58	17.5	14.7	2.82
Jon Barry	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	0	9	14.8	16.1	-1.28	17.4	14.7	2.65
Juwan Howard	57	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	11	-13	16.0	14.8	1.19	14.7	17.5	-2.82
David Wesley	66	63	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	13	-17	16.1	14.4	1.78	15.1	17.4	-2.31
Andre Barrett	15	15	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	2	5	15.6	15.5	0.11	16.9	15.8	1.04
Yao Ming	64	61	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	10	-11	15.6	15.3	0.31	15.3	17.1	-1.76
Ryan Bowen	5	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	12	-15	14.2	15.6	-1.38	15.0	16.0	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 113, ATL 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.85,0.5,0.68,0.55,0.76,0.73,1	89.4%
POR 94, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.91,1,1	89.3%
PHI 87, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.63,0.76,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.68,0.73,1	88.9%