NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	9.4 [105]		MVP	Ruben Patterson (MIL): +36.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	2.4 [773]		LVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): -34.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ime Udoka	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2	-0.01	0.18	-0.02	7	64%	0.28	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.11	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	12	79%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.12	-0.04	0.03	22	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Dan Dickau	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.02	8	0%	-0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	19	44%	-0.10	3	-0.14	7	86%	0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37	0.37	0.10	0.27	-0.00	22	58%	0.39	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.05
Michael Redd	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.19	0.03	20	66%	0.36	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.09
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	16	49%	-0.00	0	0.00	9	89%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.07	-0.26	0.01	8	30%	-0.18	1	-0.17	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	31.7	15.7	22.3	2.7	34.2	2.6	16.3	150.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +28.0%

MIL +12.8%

MIL +5.6%

MIL +4.5%

POR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	18.0	16.0	15.4	101.1	108.5	104.5
season	16.7	15.2		103.1	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	18.1	17.8	18.5	19.1	14.8	18.0
MIL	18.8	14.9	15.0	17.8	12.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	43	42	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.13	12	-20	32	18.2	17.9	0.30	17.3	15.0	2.24
Raef LaFrentz	5	5	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-10	12	17.2	18.0	-0.85	17.2	16.0	1.24
Travis Outlaw	18	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-6	4	15.3	18.6	-3.31	16.9	15.8	1.05
Sergio Rodriguez	4	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-4	0	18.2	18.0	0.26	13.2	16.2	-2.98
Martell Webster	67	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	17.9	18.3	-0.43	16.8	14.0	2.75
Zach Randolph	70	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-9	10	18.3	17.2	1.10	16.5	14.3	2.23
Dan Dickau	10	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	0	-8	20.4	17.7	2.69	14.1	16.2	-2.15
Jamaal Magloire	14	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	19.7	17.7	2.02	13.1	16.5	-3.42
Jarrett Jack	83	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	17.7	20.4	-2.69	16.2	14.1	2.15
Juan Dixon	30	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-2	-4	18.8	17.6	1.18	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Ime Udoka	75	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	4	-16	18.1	17.7	0.41	16.0	16.3	-0.33
LaMarcus Aldridge	46	47	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.13	-20	12	-32	17.5	18.4	-0.90	14.8	17.3	-2.47

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-1	10	16.4	14.1	2.36	17.8	19.3	-1.51
Ruben Patterson	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	6	-4	16.9	11.9	5.00	17.8	18.9	-1.13
Michael Redd	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	0	8	15.9	16.4	-0.40	18.0	17.9	0.07
Steve Blake	46	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-3	14	14.2	17.8	-3.62	17.7	18.3	-0.65
Andrew Bogut	69	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	16.4	15.0	1.45	18.3	17.3	0.94
Dan Gadzuric	32	32	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	4	0	14.5	16.8	-2.35	19.3	17.3	1.95
Mo Williams	74	73	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	11	-14	16.6	14.0	2.57	17.9	18.3	-0.38
Ersan Ilyasova	16	17	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	3	2	14.5	16.3	-1.83	17.7	18.1	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	92.0%
LAC 119, CLE 126	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.72,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.9,0.96,1	90.9%
ORL 102, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.69,0.82,1	90.1%