NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	119		Excitement	11.5 [13]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +36.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	126		Comeback	4.0 [243]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (LAC): -10.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3	0.03	0.25	-0.02	12	48%	0.30	0	0.00	3	100%	0.10
Ryan Gomes	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	6	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Randy Foye	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.07,0.07	0.03	0.06	0.02	19	55%	0.17	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	87%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Diogu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.1,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	0.07	-0.13	0.01	22	52%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.11	0.01	26	52%	0.04	3	-0.14	10	90%	0.06
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.32,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.26	0.01	8	77%	0.38	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.13	0.02	20	66%	0.35	1	-0.04	13	69%	-0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	63%	0.13	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.03
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,0.01,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.04	19	66%	0.25	7	-0.21	3	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	86%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	18	45%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	34.0	16.8	29.3	2.5	38.3	2.4	20.4	171.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +63.0%

LAC -10.0%

CLE +16.7%

LAC -20.0%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.5	115.5	118.9	105.7
season	15.4	15.1		104.4	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.3		110.2	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.4	16.0	16.9	15.2	16.0	15.9
CLE	14.0	12.9	16.6	14.1	17.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	74	77	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-11	15	15.5	16.8	-1.26	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Ike Diogu	26	27	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.14	-4	-3	-1	16.5	15.6	0.92	12.0	15.5	-3.48
Al-Farouq Aminu	25	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-1	-5	16.9	15.5	1.41	13.7	14.9	-1.14
DeAndre Jordan	60	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	16.4	15.1	1.31	15.8	12.9	2.92
Randy Foye	87	90	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	15.6	17.1	-1.43	14.6	14.6	-0.04
Baron Davis	78	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-8	9	15.7	16.2	-0.46	15.4	12.0	3.49
Blake Griffin	86	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	-3	-1	15.7	16.5	-0.74	14.8	13.8	0.99
Eric Bledsoe	70	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	7	-21	15.7	16.3	-0.62	13.4	17.1	-3.63

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	63	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.21	10	-3	13	13.5	16.2	-2.72	15.7	16.1	-0.49
Antawn Jamison	89	86	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	1	5	14.8	13.5	1.27	15.6	17.2	-1.65
JJ Hickson	89	87	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	5	-3	15.1	11.9	3.16	15.9	15.7	0.20
Ramon Sessions	52	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	8	-9	14.9	14.3	0.57	16.0	15.7	0.28
Daniel Gibson	66	64	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	-3	13	14.2	15.2	-1.05	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Jamario Moon	35	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	1	5	12.7	15.5	-2.85	16.4	15.6	0.75
Ryan Hollins	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	13.4	15.1	-1.70	16.7	15.5	1.21
Christian Eyenga	36	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	16.5	13.6	2.89	16.6	15.5	1.13
Anthony Parker	59	57	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	14	-21	15.1	14.0	1.11	15.4	16.5	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.72,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.91,1,1	90.9%
WAS 114, NJN 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.69,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.97,0.99,1	90.8%
TOR 113, ATL 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.85,0.5,0.68,0.55,0.76,0.73,1	90.1%