NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	7.3 [371]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +27.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	3.5 [164]		LVP	Eddie House (BOS): -14.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.28	0.07	0.21	0.00	16	60%	0.34	3	-0.06	15	93%	0.09
Kendrick Perkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	4	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Leon Powe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	10	59%	0.15	4	-0.22	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.01	15	50%	0.01	1	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie House	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	5	27%	-0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.01	12	87%	0.25	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.15	-0.03	0.16	-0.02	22	43%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	14	53%	0.15	1	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	80%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	1	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.11	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.6	38.1	16.4	27.2	2.6	42.4	150.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +49.3%

BOS -23.3%

POR +17.0%

POR +10.0%

BOS -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	17.4	15.5	100.0	107.1	106.4
season	15.8	16.7		108.3	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.5	15.3	18.9	14.9	16.3
POR	16.2	18.3	17.9	17.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	67	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-8	11	15.7	18.7	-3.08	17.4	17.2	0.18
Kendrick Perkins	67	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-7	9	16.4	16.2	0.16	16.6	19.8	-3.27
Rajon Rondo	61	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-7	9	16.3	16.4	-0.09	17.2	17.6	-0.41
Leon Powe	15	15	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	2	-9	17.5	16.1	1.45	18.9	17.0	1.92
Paul Pierce	71	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	16.6	14.9	1.70	17.2	18.0	-0.79
Eddie House	25	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	2	-9	16.4	16.3	0.09	17.6	17.2	0.41
Glen Davis	23	24	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	1	-7	17.4	15.9	1.50	18.3	17.0	1.37
Tony Allen	25	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	1	-7	15.7	16.6	-0.93	19.0	16.7	2.33
Ray Allen	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	16.3	16.8	-0.52	16.9	20.5	-3.57

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	56	57	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-8	21	17.1	17.9	-0.88	15.6	17.7	-2.04
Greg Oden	64	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-7	19	17.7	16.2	1.54	16.8	15.1	1.74
Steve Blake	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	-2	9	17.3	17.6	-0.26	16.2	16.9	-0.74
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	71	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	5	-5	17.3	17.8	-0.54	16.0	18.1	-2.18
Rudy Fernandez	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	1	3	16.8	18.5	-1.71	15.7	17.8	-2.15
Jerryd Bayless	28	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	4	-3	18.0	17.1	0.91	16.8	16.1	0.74
Sergio Rodriguez	16	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	5	-5	17.6	17.3	0.26	17.4	16.1	1.27
Joel Przybilla	25	27	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	7	-9	17.1	17.5	-0.39	16.5	16.3	0.26
Ike Diogu	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	7	-9	17.7	17.3	0.39	17.4	16.2	1.20
Nicolas Batum	29	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	13	-21	17.9	17.1	0.88	17.7	15.6	2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.87,0.75,0.64,0.77,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.97,0.99,1	92.5%
LAL 95, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.77,0.85,1	92.0%
PHI 99, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.91,1	91.9%