NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	8.4 [153]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +17.7%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	3.7 [142]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -18.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	15	67%	0.18	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	79%	0.15	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Louis Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	12	83%	0.07
Jodie Meeks	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.00	11	59%	0.05	3	-0.12	5	40%	-0.18
Elton Brand	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	12	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Evan Turner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.01	16	61%	0.21	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	-0.00	5	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.01	9	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.09	0.01	8	48%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	11	61%	0.15	4	-0.26	9	89%	0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.11	0.03	16	35%	-0.19	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	30.4	15.5	24.6	2.3	35.4	136.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.1%

UTA +11.4%

UTA +23.1%

PHI -5.4%

PHI -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	16.4	15.6	104.2	108.5	102.8
season	15.6	15.8		101.0	104.0
opponent	15.1	16.1		104.7	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	15.2	14.6	11.4	14.1
UTA	16.6	14.1	17.3	17.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	44	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-7	11	14.4	13.9	0.57	16.1	16.6	-0.44
Thaddeus Young	35	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-6	9	14.9	13.7	1.25	15.8	16.8	-1.00
Evan Turner	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	1	-5	14.2	14.1	0.11	16.4	16.3	0.09
Spencer Hawes	76	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-5	7	13.9	15.0	-1.09	16.8	14.8	2.00
Andre Iguodala	77	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-4	5	13.9	14.9	-0.94	16.5	15.6	0.93
Nikola Vucevic	17	19	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	0	-3	14.8	14.0	0.78	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Elton Brand	59	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	3	-9	14.1	14.2	-0.15	16.7	15.9	0.79
Jrue Holiday	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-3	3	13.7	15.5	-1.73	16.8	14.9	1.94
Louis Williams	57	58	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.31	-12	9	-21	14.3	13.9	0.34	15.6	17.5	-1.89

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	47	47	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-13	29	15.5	17.2	-1.74	14.5	13.8	0.68
Derrick Favors	74	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	2	-1	17.1	13.5	3.64	14.4	12.8	1.61
Earl Watson	42	41	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.41	2	1	1	17.3	15.6	1.76	14.5	13.9	0.64
Enes Kanter	32	30	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-4	11	15.2	16.9	-1.69	13.8	14.3	-0.43
Paul Millsap	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	-4	11	15.9	17.6	-1.69	14.5	13.1	1.37
Devin Harris	53	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	1	1	15.2	17.9	-2.65	13.7	14.7	-1.08
CJ Miles	40	38	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	7	-11	16.8	16.0	0.81	12.4	15.3	-2.89
Gordon Hayward	67	70	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	3	-3	16.5	16.0	0.46	14.4	13.4	0.93
Jamaal Tinsley	2	2	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	0	3	16.0	16.4	-0.37	8.0	14.3	-6.26
Raja Bell	32	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	10	-17	17.8	15.6	2.15	15.4	13.4	1.96
Jeremy Evans	12	12	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	15	-27	16.2	16.4	-0.13	11.7	14.5	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.87,0.75,0.64,0.77,0.83,1	91.9%
NYK 71, CHA 76	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	91.6%
CHI 87, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	91.6%