NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	6.6 [282]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +18.4%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	4.0 [481]		LVP	Ron Harper (CHI): -30.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dickey Simpkins	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	77%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Mark Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bill Wennington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	19	59%	0.07	4	-0.10	11	100%	0.06
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	12	57%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Kornel David	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	8	41%	-0.06	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Ron Harper	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.01	6	28%	-0.17	5	-0.13	6	50%	-0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.07	0.00	19	67%	0.25	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	39%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.08	10	90%	0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	10	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	9	52%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	4	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	30.2	15.6	29.3	2.5	29.4	131.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.4%

CHI -3.9%

IND +14.0%

IND +1.1%

CHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	15.8	96.7	109.1	99.6
season	16.7	16.4		90.6	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.4		101.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.9	14.8	17.9	15.5	16.2
IND	16.6	16.6	14.0	17.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rusty LaRue	26	25	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-11	13	16.5	16.1	0.44	14.4	16.8	-2.37
Keith Booth	4	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-7	5	18.7	16.1	2.65	20.6	15.9	4.73
Cory Carr	7	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-5	1	21.7	15.8	5.96	17.7	16.0	1.64
Mark Bryant	55	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-9	9	16.7	15.5	1.16	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Bill Wennington	18	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-6	3	18.6	15.6	2.92	19.0	15.5	3.50
Kornel David	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-1	-7	19.3	15.7	3.63	14.4	16.5	-2.03
Toni Kukoc	79	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-11	13	15.7	20.3	-4.61	16.2	16.0	0.16
Dickey Simpkins	38	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-9	9	14.7	17.4	-2.71	15.3	16.8	-1.53
Brent Barry	69	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	4	-17	15.9	17.4	-1.51	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Ron Harper	63	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	-3	-3	15.9	17.0	-1.11	16.2	16.0	0.13
Randy Brown	77	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	4	-17	16.0	17.5	-1.54	16.4	14.9	1.53

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	44	46	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-7	23	16.9	15.3	1.59	15.1	17.4	-2.28
Jalen Rose	59	60	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-6	21	16.2	16.0	0.25	15.2	18.2	-2.92
Rik Smits	61	61	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-7	23	16.4	15.5	0.89	16.4	15.9	0.43
Antonio Davis	52	54	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	3	3	16.1	16.2	-0.19	16.1	16.4	-0.23
Reggie Miller	69	72	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	2	5	15.9	16.8	-0.90	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Chris Mullin	40	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	10	-11	16.2	16.0	0.21	18.4	14.4	4.01
Dale Davis	51	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	8	-7	15.9	16.4	-0.46	17.0	15.2	1.80
Austin Croshere	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	12	-15	16.6	16.1	0.54	14.9	16.4	-1.48
Sam Perkins	11	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	14	-19	15.0	16.3	-1.30	13.8	16.6	-2.74
Mark Jackson	45	46	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	16	-23	15.6	16.7	-1.14	17.0	15.4	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	93.7%
CHA 79, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	93.7%
POR 91, NOH 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.92,1	93.6%