NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	6.2 [580]		MVP	Willie Green (NOH): +20.4%
New Orleans Hornets	95		Comeback	3.8 [252]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -16.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	5	130%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.03	19	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	68%	0.13	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	61%	0.11	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	41%	-0.00	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	7	12%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.13	-0.01	8	60%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	7	100%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	52%	0.06	1	-0.04	10	70%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.06	15	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Ewing Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	31.3	16.4	24.3	2.4	43.1	141.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +0.3%

NOH +18.2%

NOH +6.3%

NOH +21.0%

NOH +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	17.8	17.4	15.5	109.6	117.3	105.7
season	16.5	16.2		106.7	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		104.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.3	17.3	18.7	15.9	17.8
NOH	16.7	16.2	18.2	18.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	19	20	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.15	14	-18	32	15.3	18.5	-3.24	16.3	17.7	-1.40
Nicolas Batum	39	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-2	0	17.3	18.2	-0.90	18.2	16.6	1.66
Gerald Wallace	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-6	8	18.1	16.6	1.47	17.6	16.4	1.27
Marcus Camby	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-2	0	16.8	18.3	-1.52	15.6	18.4	-2.83
Brandon Roy	38	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-3	2	16.6	18.8	-2.23	16.4	18.2	-1.85
Wesley Matthews	55	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	1	-6	18.5	16.3	2.22	18.0	16.1	1.97
Rudy Fernandez	38	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-1	-2	17.4	18.1	-0.67	16.0	18.5	-2.49
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	2	-8	18.2	16.0	2.18	17.9	14.8	3.14
Andre Miller	63	60	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.26	-17	13	-30	18.8	14.5	4.29	18.0	15.6	2.41

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-3	10	17.2	19.7	-2.52	17.6	20.2	-2.60
Willie Green	41	42	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.50	3	1	2	16.8	18.0	-1.22	15.3	20.3	-5.01
Jason Smith	15	14	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-7	18	17.7	17.3	0.46	16.7	18.0	-1.26
Jarrett Jack	44	47	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.49	0	4	-4	17.3	17.4	-0.14	15.7	20.4	-4.69
Emeka Okafor	64	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	-3	10	17.8	15.6	2.24	19.1	12.6	6.50
Carl Landry	64	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	1	2	17.3	17.6	-0.29	18.6	14.9	3.66
Patrick Ewing Jr.	3	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	5	-6	26.7	17.0	9.67	17.5	17.8	-0.27
Quincy Pondexter	1	0	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	7	-10	23.0	17.3	5.71	0.0	17.8	-17.76
Marco Belinelli	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.19	5	-1	6	17.7	17.0	0.61	19.9	15.6	4.34
Trevor Ariza	48	52	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	9	-14	16.9	18.0	-1.13	18.1	17.2	0.90
Aaron Gray	7	7	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	11	-18	14.7	17.6	-2.89	14.9	18.0	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
CHA 79, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	92.6%
ORL 94, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	92.5%