NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	8.9 [126]		MVP	Troy Hudson (LAC): +17.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	143.9 [4]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -19.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Farmer	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	14	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
Drew Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tim Legler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	14	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	10	41%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	19	45%	0.02	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mills	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	18	28%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	12	37%	-0.01	4	-0.17	3	33%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.01	14	61%	0.22	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.06
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.01	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	13	47%	-0.01	5	-0.13	8	50%	-0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	10	45%	-0.04	4	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.54,-0.54,-0.5,-0.46,-0.2	-0.20	-0.23	0.02	-0.01	20	42%	-0.00	6	-0.20	15	60%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.3	29.5	15.7	26.3	3.5	36.2	142.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +25.1%

LAC +4.4%

GSW -6.8%

GSW -8.1%

LAC +35.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.7	15.2	94.8	100.0	101.7
season	14.7	15.6		97.2	95.5
opponent	14.3	14.7		107.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	18.2	13.4	15.8	15.0
LAC	14.5	16.9	16.0	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Young	39	33	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.22	7	-8	15	15.6	14.6	0.97	15.8	15.6	0.15
Chris Mills	71	68	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.38	-2	1	-3	15.0	15.1	-0.12	16.1	14.5	1.63
Jason Caffey	43	46	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-8	15	14.3	15.5	-1.24	16.8	14.5	2.37
Drew Barry	24	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-3	5	16.1	14.6	1.46	16.8	15.3	1.42
Tim Legler	11	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-1	1	13.4	15.2	-1.84	10.3	16.2	-5.91
Tony Farmer	49	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.62	5	-6	11	15.9	14.0	1.86	15.0	16.4	-1.40
John Starks	74	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.54	-2	1	-3	15.5	13.4	2.11	16.6	11.5	5.14
Vonteego Cummings	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	2	-5	14.6	16.1	-1.46	15.3	16.8	-1.42
Bill Curley	31	31	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.73	-1	0	-1	13.5	15.7	-2.27	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Donyell Marshall	66	59	-1.09	0.59	-1.69	-0.57	-18	17	-35	14.9	15.2	-0.26	14.7	17.5	-2.79

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	35	39	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.81	3	-2	5	13.8	16.8	-3.01	13.6	15.9	-2.27
Lamar Odom	79	84	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.40	9	-8	17	15.8	14.6	1.22	15.6	10.7	4.94
Michael Olowokandi	75	77	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.55	3	-2	5	16.3	12.8	3.56	14.6	16.5	-1.85
Troy Hudson	81	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.48	0	1	-1	15.4	17.3	-1.83	14.5	18.7	-4.30
Tyrone Nesby	75	77	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.46	-7	8	-15	15.1	18.1	-2.94	14.0	18.8	-4.80
Maurice Taylor	48	50	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	-1	3	16.6	14.6	2.05	15.2	14.7	0.48
Eric Murdock	11	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	0	1	17.3	15.4	1.83	18.7	14.5	4.30
Keith Closs	17	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	3	-5	12.8	16.3	-3.56	16.5	14.6	1.85
Eric Piatkowski	39	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.24	-4	5	-9	16.8	14.8	2.01	16.6	13.9	2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, SEA 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.53,0.45,0.6,0.4,0.25,0.11,0.17,0.15,1	91.1%
GSW 105, DET 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.06,0.26,1	90.0%
DEN 101, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.42,1	90.0%