NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	116		Excitement	4.9 [817]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +6.0%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	1.0 [998]		LVP	Tony Farmer (GSW): -9.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	20	57%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	86%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00
Loy Vaught	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	11	66%	0.04	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.01
John Crotty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.01	-0.05	16	49%	0.01	5	-0.09	15	87%	0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	17	61%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	11	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.05	-0.06	19	46%	0.04	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	57%	-0.01	3	-0.05	13	54%	-0.08
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	4	44%	-0.03	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.6	30.1	15.5	26.5	2.3	39.3	145.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.2%

DET +19.6%

GSW -11.6%

DET +9.5%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	12.4	15.5	15.2	111.5	104.9	101.7
season	14.1	14.7		104.2	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.3		105.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	11.7	11.4	12.8	13.7	12.4
GSW	15.5	15.3	16.5	14.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	87	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-9	26	12.3	12.9	-0.67	15.4	15.7	-0.27
Jerome Williams	51	52	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-5	18	13.3	11.5	1.75	15.8	15.1	0.79
Jerry Stackhouse	99	98	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	12.5	10.2	2.29	15.3	18.4	-3.09
Grant Hill	86	84	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	8	-8	12.3	13.0	-0.74	14.9	18.1	-3.25
Michael Curry	34	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	4	0	12.4	12.4	-0.05	17.1	14.7	2.45
Terry Mills	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	-1	10	11.7	12.9	-1.25	15.8	15.2	0.56
Christian Laettner	60	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	11	-14	11.9	13.0	-1.11	14.4	16.9	-2.53
Don Reid	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.14	-1	9	-10	11.8	12.6	-0.79	16.0	15.2	0.81
Loy Vaught	18	16	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	10	-12	15.9	11.7	4.24	16.8	15.2	1.61
John Crotty	9	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	13	-18	10.1	12.6	-2.49	15.8	15.4	0.35

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Cummings	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-11	14	15.9	15.3	0.54	11.0	12.9	-1.92
Tim Legler	21	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-9	10	16.6	15.2	1.46	11.2	12.7	-1.47
Mookie Blaylock	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	0	-8	15.3	15.5	-0.17	12.2	12.4	-0.18
Bill Curley	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.16	-2	-6	4	15.1	15.7	-0.64	13.8	11.6	2.21
Vonteego Cummings	78	79	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-9	10	15.1	16.7	-1.62	12.1	13.3	-1.18
Jason Caffey	83	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-10	12	15.7	14.6	1.06	12.9	10.4	2.51
Tony Farmer	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	0	-8	16.3	15.0	1.27	12.3	12.4	-0.15
Chris Mills	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	3	-14	15.0	16.1	-1.10	12.6	12.1	0.49
John Starks	92	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-5	2	15.3	17.0	-1.73	12.4	12.4	-0.04
Donyell Marshall	69	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	7	-22	15.6	15.1	0.46	12.2	12.9	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.34,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.16,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.03,0	95.1%
CLE 84, NJN 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CHH 96, SAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0	94.3%