NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	4.1 [947]		MVP	Vinny Del Negro (SAS): +8.9%
San Antonio Spurs	84		Comeback	1.0 [652]		LVP	Dominique Wilkins (SAS): -19.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Pierce	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.05	14	75%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	25	57%	0.09	5	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Donald Royal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.05	13	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	16	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.03	0.05	24	38%	-0.18	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	25.4	15.4	23.4	1.7	26.0	117.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +35.3%

CHH +3.1%

CHH +5.8%

CHH +7.6%

SAS -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	SAS	NBA	CHH	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	18.5	15.6	117.1	102.4	104.4
season	15.7	16.8		108.0	100.8
opponent	15.4	16.0		109.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.7	17.1	16.0	16.9	16.6
SAS	16.8	20.8	17.5	19.1	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	76	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-7	26	16.5	18.2	-1.64	18.3	20.4	-2.14
Glen Rice	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-3	18	16.3	21.0	-4.70	19.0	12.2	6.81
Vlade Divac	78	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-2	16	16.5	18.7	-2.21	18.4	21.0	-2.62
Muggsy Bogues	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	3	6	17.1	14.0	3.06	17.9	21.6	-3.64
Ricky Pierce	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	5	2	16.5	16.8	-0.23	18.8	18.1	0.65
Tony Delk	11	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	9	-6	14.0	17.1	-3.06	21.6	17.9	3.64
Tony Smith	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	11	-10	18.5	15.7	2.74	16.8	19.3	-2.53
Donald Royal	18	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	12	-12	16.2	16.8	-0.54	19.2	18.3	0.89
Malik Rose	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	20	-28	17.6	16.6	1.01	19.0	18.4	0.57

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Alexander	13	12	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-15	18	17.7	18.6	-0.93	16.2	16.7	-0.46
Greg Anderson	26	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-9	6	16.5	19.4	-2.95	17.8	16.2	1.60
Jamie Feick	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-9	6	20.2	17.4	2.76	17.2	16.3	0.99
Carl Herrera	64	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	17.8	21.0	-3.23	16.7	16.5	0.19
Will Perdue	56	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	19.4	16.5	2.95	16.2	17.8	-1.60
Vinny Del Negro	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-1	-10	18.1	26.5	-8.44	16.8	13.7	3.04
Avery Johnson	69	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	3	-18	18.6	17.7	0.93	16.7	16.2	0.46
Dominique Wilkins	73	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	1	-14	18.8	15.8	3.03	16.2	20.9	-4.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.03,0	95.7%
NJN 113, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DET 93, PHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%