NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	113		Excitement	4.5 [938]		MVP	Rodney Buford (NJN): +13.8%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	1.1 [610]		LVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): -12.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	13	77%	0.20	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	6	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.01	0.07	17	74%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	71%	0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	17	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	13	38%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.02	25	57%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	10	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Flores	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	2	75%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	54%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	9	57%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	14	18%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	25.3	15.8	25.0	3.0	30.2	125.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.6%

NJN +3.3%

NJN +5.7%

NJN +3.9%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	GSW	NBA	NJN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	16.7	15.5	124.2	110.0	104.0
season	16.0	15.0		99.2	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.7	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.0	17.3	13.2	17.8	15.1
GSW	18.3	18.7	14.0	16.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	71	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-12	38	14.6	17.0	-2.39	17.6	13.9	3.65
Rodney Buford	68	67	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	2	10	13.6	19.5	-5.87	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Jason Kidd	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	-6	26	14.9	16.1	-1.12	17.1	14.5	2.68
Vince Carter	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	-4	22	14.6	16.2	-1.62	17.2	15.5	1.69
Brian Scalabrine	75	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	5	4	15.0	15.6	-0.52	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Billy Thomas	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	14	-14	18.3	13.5	4.79	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Jabari Smith	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.30	-7	21	-28	16.4	14.3	2.03	15.1	17.8	-2.65
Jacque Vaughn	35	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	22	-30	16.5	14.3	2.25	15.8	17.2	-1.46

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.19	8	-22	30	13.5	17.3	-3.79	18.5	14.5	3.98
Luis Flores	16	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-14	14	16.3	16.8	-0.47	14.3	15.3	-1.06
Dale Davis	25	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-8	2	17.9	16.2	1.63	15.4	15.0	0.33
Adonal Foyle	44	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-9	4	16.5	16.8	-0.30	13.5	16.8	-3.30
Troy Murphy	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-7	0	17.3	15.1	2.17	15.3	14.6	0.69
Eduardo Najera	39	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-11	8	15.2	17.8	-2.59	15.6	14.8	0.79
Mickael Pietrus	40	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-6	-2	15.8	17.4	-1.58	15.6	14.7	0.81
Mike Dunleavy	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	3	-20	17.5	15.1	2.36	15.2	15.0	0.25
Jason Richardson	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	1	-16	17.0	14.8	2.14	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Derek Fisher	65	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	3	-20	17.0	16.0	0.91	14.9	15.6	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHH 96, SAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0	95.7%
ATL 95, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%