NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	4.4 [975]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +8.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	80		Comeback	1.2 [620]		LVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): -11.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	9	74%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Maurice Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	17	39%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	86%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	12	64%	0.13	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	11	46%	0.04	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	19	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	29.6	15.4	23.3	2.5	29.6	128.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +47.8%

MIL -12.5%

ATL +6.9%

ATL +7.3%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.5	105.6	89.9	105.7
season	16.5	16.2		104.0	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	13.2	19.1	16.8	15.9
MIL	15.9	17.5	15.9	16.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	77	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	4	7	16.1	14.8	1.28	16.1	17.4	-1.25
Jeff Teague	35	34	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	4	7	15.3	16.3	-1.00	16.7	16.1	0.63
Joe Johnson	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	3	9	16.1	15.4	0.70	16.1	17.0	-0.88
Marvin Williams	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	2	11	15.8	15.9	-0.13	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Jason Collins	60	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	7	1	15.8	15.9	-0.10	16.5	16.0	0.52
Jamal Crawford	43	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	3	9	16.1	15.7	0.39	15.9	16.7	-0.73
Josh Smith	60	59	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	15.9	15.8	0.10	16.2	16.6	-0.43
Maurice Evans	13	14	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	11	-7	14.5	16.1	-1.64	17.0	16.2	0.81
Zaza Pachulia	10	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	14	-13	15.6	15.9	-0.30	18.2	16.1	2.12
Mike Bibby	42	42	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	17	-19	16.1	15.7	0.43	16.6	16.1	0.49

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	26	26	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-21	27	15.8	16.5	-0.77	19.1	14.6	4.51
Larry Sanders	15	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-13	11	14.1	16.8	-2.62	17.3	15.5	1.76
Ersan Ilyasova	32	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-14	13	17.0	15.9	1.02	17.8	14.8	3.03
Jon Brockman	28	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-9	3	17.2	15.9	1.31	13.1	17.2	-4.13
Corey Maggette	34	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-4	-7	15.6	16.7	-1.13	16.1	15.7	0.45
Keyon Dooling	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-6	-3	16.3	16.6	-0.31	15.9	15.8	0.04
John Salmons	76	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-6	-3	16.1	17.8	-1.70	16.1	14.6	1.53
Luc Mbah a Moute	28	27	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	0	-15	16.9	16.1	0.79	14.0	16.7	-2.61
Andrew Bogut	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-4	-7	16.6	14.1	2.45	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Earl Boykins	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	2	-19	16.6	16.0	0.53	14.4	17.6	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 102, GSW 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DET 93, PHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%