NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	93		Excitement	4.2 [1006]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +12.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	75		Comeback	1.1 [577]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -18.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.00	8	118%	0.22	6	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Ronald Dupree	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	16	61%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	60%	0.08	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Rasheed Wallace	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.00	-0.01	15	33%	-0.13	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	11	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	21	44%	-0.05	6	-0.14	10	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	29.5	15.6	24.3	2.4	27.6	124.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.4%

PHI -0.5%

PHI -1.3%

DET +7.2%

DET +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	13.7	15.5	95.9	77.3	104.0
season	16.7	13.9		103.5	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.1	15.0	18.5	16.7	16.0
PHI	14.2	14.4	12.3	13.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	0	18	16.5	14.2	2.32	13.5	14.5	-1.02
Rasheed Wallace	81	79	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	2	14	15.4	19.3	-3.95	13.7	13.4	0.36
Chauncey Billups	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	2	14	15.7	17.1	-1.45	13.7	13.5	0.26
Richard Hamilton	73	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.02	14	4	10	16.2	15.5	0.73	14.0	12.8	1.18
Ben Wallace	65	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	6	6	16.4	15.2	1.13	13.4	14.2	-0.75
Lindsey Hunter	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	11	-4	16.6	15.7	0.89	12.3	14.3	-1.99
Antonio McDyess	42	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	12	-6	17.4	15.0	2.42	13.4	13.9	-0.47
Horace Jenkins	8	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	16	-14	12.2	16.3	-4.10	14.9	13.6	1.27
Ronald Dupree	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	17	-16	11.3	16.3	-4.99	13.7	13.7	-0.01
Darko Milicic	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	13.0	16.2	-3.17	18.5	13.5	5.03
Carlos Arroyo	22	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	21	-24	15.9	16.0	-0.13	15.0	13.3	1.74

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	18.5	13.5	5.03	13.0	16.2	-3.17
Josh Davis	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	17.2	13.5	3.72	13.9	16.2	-2.32
Aaron McKie	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-13	8	10.3	13.9	-3.66	12.9	16.3	-3.40
Willie Green	38	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-15	12	13.7	13.6	0.09	16.8	15.5	1.25
Marc Jackson	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-17	16	13.3	13.9	-0.59	19.7	14.1	5.59
Corliss Williamson	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-13	8	12.8	14.4	-1.62	18.3	14.3	4.01
Samuel Dalembert	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-7	-4	14.0	13.3	0.66	14.0	18.2	-4.24
Andre Iguodala	77	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-7	-4	14.2	11.7	2.49	16.3	14.9	1.39
Kenny Thomas	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-2	-14	13.9	13.3	0.66	14.4	18.8	-4.40
Kyle Korver	72	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	-1	-16	13.4	14.4	-0.97	15.6	17.1	-1.49
Allen Iverson	93	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	-1	-16	13.5	18.5	-5.03	16.2	13.0	3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHI 95, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
ATL 95, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.7%